TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1197111012911––
Serhii Priadko
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 76.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 128–64 Serhii Priadko Serhii Priadko has won 64 of their 192 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Ziakun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
128-64 in 192
Ziakun
Wrong
gap of 64 in 192, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1330 vs Priadko 1229
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Priadko 40%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 30% vs Priadko 60%
Priadko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +1 · Priadko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.30 / Priadko 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161645
Ziakun1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite81% won 169 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it88% 136 of 155
Priadko3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 16)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 47 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun9wins
AwayPriadko1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%6 of 6
AwayPriadko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun6Priadko4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun9Priadko1n = 10Ziakun took 9 of 10
S3Ziakun7Priadko3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S4Ziakun4Priadko2n = 6Ziakun took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunPriadkoZ − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.431.2+7.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 633 vs 260 / 62659.7%41.5%378 / 633 vs 260 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.30/Priadko 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 16 · 16:59V. Ziakun4051311113S. Priadko321111551
WSep 16 · 13:30V. Ziakun331111113S. Priadko146530
WSep 9 · 13:30V. Ziakun48101111163S. Priadko381248141
WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun3911115123S. Priadko357711101
WSep 2 · 13:30V. Ziakun4151411113S. Priadko371112951
WAug 26 · 13:30V. Ziakun331111113S. Priadko259880
LAug 23 · 16:00V. Ziakun371012691S. Priadko44121011113
WAug 19 · 15:00V. Ziakun361111143S. Priadko2567120
V. Ziakun10
WSep 20 · 13:30I. Torhachov2.50117791V. Ziakun1.5041111113WSep 16 · 16:59V. Ziakun1.3351311113S. Priadko3.251111551LSep 16 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.50511711113V. Ziakun1.5011611792LSep 16 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.006880S. Miroshnychenko1.361111113WSep 16 · 13:30S. Priadko3.256530V. Ziakun1.331111113WSep 16 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.14111711113R. Boklah5.00419381LSep 15 · 11:30O. Lyman1.281111133V. Ziakun3.5077110LSep 15 · 10:00V. Ziakun3.503790D. Kuzmenko1.281111113LSep 15 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko1.40111011113V. Ziakun2.75412881LSep 15 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.50131110123V. Ziakun2.5011812101
S. Priadko10
LSep 16 · 16:59V. Ziakun1.3351311113S. Priadko3.251111551LSep 16 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.611411113S. Priadko2.2012850WSep 16 · 15:00S. Priadko1.5711133153R. Boklah2.2541111131LSep 16 · 13:30S. Priadko3.256530V. Ziakun1.331111113WSep 16 · 12:00S. Priadko5.0011114123S. Miroshnychenko1.148911101LSep 12 · 10:30A. Fastov2.63601111103S. Priadko1.4411115772WSep 12 · 09:30S. Priadko2.50881112113I. Serdiuk1.50111171092WSep 12 · 08:30S. Priadko2.0011911113I. Torhachov1.73611971WSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142
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