TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Ihor Torhachov
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114711711911––
Viktor Ziakun
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:34 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Torhachov above · Viktor Ziakun below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 62.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Torhachov 71–106 Viktor Ziakun Ihor Torhachov has won 71 of their 177 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:34What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-106 in 177
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 35 in 177, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torhachov 1326 vs Ziakun 1315
Torhachov
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torhachov 100% vs Ziakun 40%
Torhachov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torhachov 70% vs Ziakun 30%
Torhachov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Torhachov +5 · Ziakun -1
Torhachov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorhachov 2.50 / Ziakun 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Ziakun)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161705
Torhachov2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 23 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Ziakun1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite81% won 169 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it88% 136 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorhachov4wins
AwayZiakun6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorhachov66.7%2 of 3
AwayZiakun71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torhachov3Ziakun7n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S2Torhachov1Ziakun9n = 10Ziakun took 9 of 10
S3Torhachov5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S4Torhachov5Ziakun1n = 6Torhachov took 5 of 6
S5Torhachov2Ziakun1n = 3Torhachov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorhachovZiakunT − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.1−0.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorhachovZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 501 vs 369 / 62151.1%59.4%256 / 501 vs 369 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunTorhachov 2.50/Ziakun 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 16 · 15:30I. Torhachov45511711113V. Ziakun4411611792
LSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov549101111132V. Ziakun50111275153
LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov237790V. Ziakun331111113
WAug 26 · 12:30I. Torhachov4011711113V. Ziakun26611721
LAug 23 · 12:30I. Torhachov33118951V. Ziakun4181111113
LAug 19 · 17:05I. Torhachov197840V. Ziakun331111113
WAug 19 · 12:30I. Torhachov3911611113V. Ziakun35911961
LAug 12 · 14:00I. Torhachov2449110V. Ziakun351111133
WAug 9 · 16:00I. Torhachov51991111113V. Ziakun3711114652
I. Torhachov10
WSep 20 · 12:00I. Torhachov1.4411911113R. Boklah2.63711981WSep 16 · 17:30S. Miroshnychenko1.131181171I. Torhachov5.5071113113WSep 16 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.611411113S. Priadko2.2012850WSep 16 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.50511711113V. Ziakun1.5011611792WSep 16 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.50101111113R. Boklah2.50127461LSep 16 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.007580S. Miroshnychenko1.141111113WSep 12 · 11:00O. Kolos3.5011550I. Torhachov1.281311113WSep 12 · 10:00R. Boklah2.254870I. Torhachov1.571111113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Priadko2.0011911113I. Torhachov1.73611971LSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.911212113I. Torhachov1.80101070
V. Ziakun10
WSep 20 · 14:30V. Ziakun1.141111113R. Boklah5.007990LSep 20 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.301171091S. Priadko3.4091112113WSep 16 · 16:59V. Ziakun1.3351311113S. Priadko3.251111551LSep 16 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.50511711113V. Ziakun1.5011611792LSep 16 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.006880S. Miroshnychenko1.361111113WSep 16 · 13:30S. Priadko3.256530V. Ziakun1.331111113WSep 16 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.14111711113R. Boklah5.00419381LSep 15 · 11:30O. Lyman1.281111133V. Ziakun3.5077110LSep 15 · 10:00V. Ziakun3.503790D. Kuzmenko1.281111113LSep 15 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko1.40111011113V. Ziakun2.75412881
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