TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136799
Played Sep 16Finished
Ihor Torhachov
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511116711117119
Viktor Ziakun
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Torhachov above · Viktor Ziakun below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 60.1%
89 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Torhachov 70–106 Viktor Ziakun Ihor Torhachov has won 70 of their 176 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ziakun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-106 in 176
Ziakun
Wrong
gap of 36 in 176, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torhachov 1273 vs Ziakun 1338
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torhachov 60% vs Ziakun 40%
Torhachov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torhachov 50% vs Ziakun 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Torhachov +1 · Ziakun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Ziakun) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorhachov 2.50 / Ziakun 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Ziakun)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13136799
Torhachov2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 23 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Ziakun1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite81% won 172 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it88% 138 of 157
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorhachov3wins
AwayZiakun7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorhachov66.7%2 of 3
AwayZiakun85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torhachov3Ziakun7n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S2Torhachov1Ziakun9n = 10Ziakun took 9 of 10
S3Torhachov5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S4Torhachov4Ziakun3n = 7Torhachov took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorhachovZiakunT − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.136.8−2.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorhachovZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 510 vs 378 / 63250%59.8%255 / 510 vs 378 / 632Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunTorhachov 2.50/Ziakun 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Torhachov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov549101111132V. Ziakun50111275153
LSep 6 · 13:30I. Torhachov281141121V. Ziakun351311833
LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov237790V. Ziakun331111113
WAug 26 · 12:30I. Torhachov4011711113V. Ziakun26611721
LAug 23 · 12:30I. Torhachov33118951V. Ziakun4181111113
LAug 19 · 17:05I. Torhachov197840V. Ziakun331111113
WAug 19 · 12:30I. Torhachov3911611113V. Ziakun35911961
LAug 12 · 14:00I. Torhachov2449110V. Ziakun351111133
WAug 9 · 16:00I. Torhachov51991111113V. Ziakun3711114652
LAug 8 · 06:30I. Torhachov30712651V. Ziakun43111011113
I. Torhachov10
WSep 16 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.50101111113R. Boklah2.50127461LSep 16 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.007580S. Miroshnychenko1.141111113WSep 12 · 11:00O. Kolos3.5011550I. Torhachov1.281311113WSep 12 · 10:00R. Boklah2.254870I. Torhachov1.571111113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Priadko2.0011911113I. Torhachov1.73611971LSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.911212113I. Torhachov1.80101070WSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 9 · 17:29S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113I. Torhachov4.507250WSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153
V. Ziakun10
LSep 16 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.006880S. Miroshnychenko1.361111113WSep 16 · 13:30S. Priadko3.256530V. Ziakun1.331111113WSep 16 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.14111711113R. Boklah5.00419381LSep 15 · 11:30O. Lyman1.281111133V. Ziakun3.5077110LSep 15 · 10:00V. Ziakun3.503790D. Kuzmenko1.281111113LSep 15 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko1.40111011113V. Ziakun2.75412881LSep 15 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.50131110123V. Ziakun2.5011812101LSep 15 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.251111113V. Ziakun3.759690WSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153
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