TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119119––––
Matej Grundel
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Matej Grundel below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 11–8 Matej Grundel Matej Grundel has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grundel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grundel form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.91 / Grundel 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Grundel)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165796
Pilch1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 31 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Grundel1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 57 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch7wins
AwayGrundel3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPilch leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch80%4 of 5
AwayGrundel40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch5Grundel5n = 10split evenly
S2Pilch5Grundel5n = 10split evenly
S3Pilch4Grundel6n = 10Grundel took 6 of 10
S4Pilch6Grundel1n = 7Pilch took 6 of 7
S5Pilch3Grundel1n = 4Pilch took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchGrundelP − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.637.0+1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchGrundelBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 453 vs 169 / 32250.3%52.5%228 / 453 vs 169 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrundelPilch 1.91/Grundel 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Grundel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 14:30J. Pilch43511511113M. Grundel4411711782
WSep 18 · 16:59J. Pilch361311123M. Grundel29118100
WSep 18 · 16:00J. Pilch4211119113M. Grundel28651161
WJul 30 · 15:00J. Pilch511113115113M. Grundel4151541162
WJul 20 · 16:59J. Pilch3711411113M. Grundel34811781
WJul 20 · 15:30J. Pilch484111111113M. Grundel5111913992
LJul 17 · 16:00J. Pilch2310670M. Grundel341211113
WJul 11 · 15:00J. Pilch4291111113M. Grundel30117661
LJul 11 · 13:30J. Pilch4411581192M. Grundel46811115113
LJul 11 · 11:30J. Pilch207490M. Grundel331111113
J. Pilch10
LSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862LSep 20 · 15:00M. Navedla2.00981112113J. Pilch1.73111191042WSep 20 · 14:30J. Pilch2.10511511113M. Grundel1.6711711782WSep 19 · 17:31D. Tomica1.9011881172J. Pilch1.80511119113WSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123WSep 19 · 15:00M. Navedla2.006116141J. Pilch1.7311611163LSep 19 · 14:30J. Pilch1.73511951D. Tomica2.0011911113WSep 18 · 16:59J. Pilch1.831311123M. Grundel1.83118100WSep 18 · 16:00M. Grundel1.73651161J. Pilch2.0011119113LSep 18 · 15:00D. Tomica2.10551111133J. Pilch1.67111197112
M. Grundel10
WSep 20 · 16:30M. Navedla2.0011981382M. Grundel1.739111111113LSep 20 · 15:30M. Grundel2.2571450T. Dousek1.571116113LSep 20 · 14:30J. Pilch2.10511511113M. Grundel1.6711711782LSep 18 · 16:59J. Pilch1.831311123M. Grundel1.83118100LSep 18 · 16:00M. Grundel1.73651161J. Pilch2.0011119113LSep 18 · 15:30R. Polasek1.501111113M. Grundel2.507260WSep 18 · 14:00M. Grundel1.571011114113D. Tomica2.2512981162WSep 10 · 16:59M. Grundel1.61101111113F. Nadymacek2.20126991LSep 10 · 16:00M. Grundel1.5010880D. Tomica2.501211113WSep 10 · 15:30F. Nadymacek2.1011135782M. Grundel1.679111111113
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