TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Postelt
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Vojtech Koubek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koubek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Postelt above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Vojtech Koubek at 58.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Postelt 19–33 Vojtech Koubek Tomas Postelt has won 19 of their 52 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 16:08What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Koubek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-33 in 52
Koubek
Wrong
gap of 14 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1872 vs Koubek 1868
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 80% vs Koubek 60%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 60% vs Koubek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt +3 · Koubek +2
Postelt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Koubek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.20 / Koubek 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Koubek)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13165538
Postelt2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 58 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back32% 25 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 39
Koubek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 33 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt4wins
AwayKoubek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKoubek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt66.7%4 of 6
AwayKoubek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt6Koubek4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S2Postelt2Koubek8n = 10Koubek took 8 of 10
S3Postelt3Koubek7n = 10Koubek took 7 of 10
S4Postelt4Koubek1n = 5Postelt took 4 of 5
S5Postelt2Koubek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltKoubekP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.638.9−2.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 714 vs 192 / 38247.1%50.3%336 / 714 vs 192 / 382Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubekPostelt 2.20/Koubek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Koubek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 14:30T. Postelt511161011133V. Koubek52911129112
LAug 18 · 16:30T. Postelt2677120V. Koubek361111143
LAug 10 · 15:30T. Postelt371171091V. Koubek4391112113
LMay 26 · 17:30T. Postelt4384111192V. Koubek41111135113
LMay 26 · 15:00T. Postelt30101370V. Koubek381215113
WMay 4 · 16:30T. Postelt361213113V. Koubek27101160
LApr 16 · 14:30T. Postelt206770V. Koubek331111113
WApr 7 · 14:30T. Postelt471141011113V. Koubek4451112882
WMar 26 · 18:00T. Postelt341211113V. Koubek2410680
LMar 26 · 16:00T. Postelt4212761162V. Koubek511011118113
T. Postelt10
WSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt2.381111113V. Koubek1.536570WSep 21 · 15:00T. Postelt1.83116115123E. Mares1.83811511102WSep 21 · 14:00J. Zajicek1.4079111192T. Postelt2.75111166113WSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2.5038130T. Postelt1.501111153LSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162WSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113LSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123LSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113WSep 13 · 21:30E. Mares1.80115431T. Postelt1.9011111113WSep 13 · 20:30T. Postelt1.91791711113M. Zahradka1.80111115872
V. Koubek10
LSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt2.381111113V. Koubek1.536570WSep 21 · 15:30V. Koubek2.6371111113J. Zajicek1.44117551WSep 21 · 14:30E. Mares2.101113117132V. Koubek1.67315411153LSep 16 · 21:28E. Mares2.101111113V. Koubek1.675740LSep 16 · 20:00E. Mares2.0010121111113V. Koubek1.7312149882WSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113WSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek2.50115711113J. Zajicek1.5071111462WSep 15 · 21:00V. Koubek1.911311113Z. Bilek1.8011990LSep 15 · 20:00E. Mares2.001111113V. Koubek1.738880LSep 15 · 19:00M. Zahradka2.501111113V. Koubek1.507560
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