TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 21Finished
Alex Moreno
Home
8.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811411––––
Olav Kosolosky
Away
1.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 70.6% is still 70.6%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
70.6%
70.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlex Moreno above · Olav Kosolosky below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 70.6%
51 points played in total.
H2H Alex Moreno 0–1 Olav Kosolosky Alex Moreno has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (89%)
Kosolosky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moreno 1190 vs Kosolosky 1988
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 798 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moreno 20% vs Kosolosky 60%
Kosolosky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moreno 20% vs Kosolosky 80%
Kosolosky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moreno -2 · Kosolosky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Kosolosky) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosolosky form (60%) is below what odds imply (95%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoreno 8.50 / Kosolosky 1.05
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Kosolosky)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13165523
Moreno8.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog13% won 8 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 39
Kosolosky1.05
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite94% won 29 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoreno0wins
AwayKosolosky1wins
Kosolosky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMorenoKosoloskyM − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match16.033.0−17.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMorenoKosoloskyBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 126 vs 66 / 8514.3%77.7%18 / 126 vs 66 / 85Avg sets wonper match0.92.6per matchAvg pointsper match28.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyMoreno 8.50/Kosolosky 1.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kosolosky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 13 · 09:30A. Moreno166550O. Kosolosky331111113
A. Moreno10
LSep 21 · 06:30A. Moreno3.25712521K. Zimmermann1.33111011113LAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113WAug 25 · 06:30A. Moreno1.611111113J. Willeke2.208940LAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113LAug 24 · 12:30A. Moreno6.00811961M. Henninger1.1111611113LAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 08:30P. Koloidenko1.08167111162A. Moreno7.00181196113LAug 24 · 07:00A. Moreno—861161E. Huzsvar—11115113LAug 21 · 08:15S. Almeida1.401111113A. Moreno2.767590LAug 20 · 16:30E. Huzsvar—11115113A. Moreno—581171
O. Kosolosky10
LSep 21 · 07:00O. Kosolosky6.50951181R. Turrini1.1011117113WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570WAug 13 · 15:00O. Kosolosky—1111113M. Stefanidis—6550WAug 13 · 14:00O. Kosolosky1.441111113L. Qiu2.636370
Upcoming Matches
A. Moreno
O. Kosolosky
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.