TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 21Finished
Marco Stefanidis
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116611411––
Rafael Turrini
Away
1.89
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:06 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeRafael Turrini to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
711116611411––
H2H Marco Stefanidis 0–7 Rafael Turrini Marco Stefanidis has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:06What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Stefanidis
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Turrini
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefanidis 1494 vs Turrini 2013
Turrini
Correct
both rated, 519 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefanidis 60% vs Turrini 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefanidis 60% vs Turrini 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefanidis +3 · Turrini +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Turrini) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefanidis 1.83 / Turrini 1.89
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Turrini)+4.8pp
Challenger Series TT · #13165513
Stefanidis1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 14 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Turrini1.89
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeStefanidis0wins
AwayTurrini7wins
Turrini leads 7–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefanidisn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTurrini100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefanidis1Turrini6n = 7Turrini took 6 of 7
S2Stefanidis0Turrini7n = 7Turrini took 7 of 7
S3Stefanidis2Turrini5n = 7Turrini took 5 of 7
S4Stefanidis0Turrini3n = 3Turrini took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away457%
These 7 meetings
MetricStefanidisTurriniS − TBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match20.336.4−16.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefanidisTurriniBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 189 vs 211 / 24739.7%85.4%75 / 189 vs 211 / 247Avg sets wonper match1.72.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniStefanidis 1.83/Turrini 1.89
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Turrini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis178180R. Turrini331111113
LJun 1 · 12:30M. Stefanidis30119461R. Turrini4291111113
LDec 4 · 14:00M. Stefanidis156360R. Turrini331111113
LOct 20 · 10:00M. Stefanidis31851171R. Turrini4011117113
LMay 19 · 15:00M. Stefanidis29751161R. Turrini4111118113
LApr 1 · 08:45M. Stefanidis92520R. Turrini331111113
LMar 31 · 08:00M. Stefanidis116230R. Turrini331111113
M. Stefanidis10
WSep 21 · 15:00A. Moreno3.771171091M. Stefanidis1.2391112113WSep 21 · 11:30M. Stefanidis1.401111118123C. Schmitt2.75139611102WSep 21 · 10:00M. Stefanidis—1111911153K. Zimmermann—961113132WSep 21 · 08:00S. Happek—8880M. Stefanidis—1111113LSep 11 · 10:40M. Stefanidis—4890T. Pellny—1111113LSep 11 · 09:30M. Henninger—1111113M. Stefanidis—4350WSep 11 · 08:00D. Cheaib1.4511126932M. Stefanidis2.558101111113LSep 11 · 07:00M. Stefanidis2.6575100M. Bott1.401111123LSep 10 · 16:00M. Henninger—511117113M. Stefanidis—11891132WSep 10 · 14:00K. Moosmann—610100M. Stefanidis—1112123
R. Turrini10
WSep 21 · 12:00S. Happek15.00541591R. Turrini1.01111113113WSep 21 · 09:00S. Almeida2.59861171R. Turrini1.4511119113WSep 21 · 07:00O. Kosolosky6.50951181R. Turrini1.1011117113LSep 8 · 10:39K. Fadeev3.401111126113R. Turrini1.30134101192LSep 8 · 09:45M. Henninger4.801111113R. Turrini1.154490WSep 8 · 08:30R. Turrini1.131411113V. Senkbeil5.5012670LSep 8 · 06:30R. Turrini1.201211471K. Fadeev4.3314811113WSep 7 · 16:00R. Turrini1.041111113K. Waltl9.006470LSep 7 · 12:30R. Turrini1.101051541M. Henninger6.50121113113WSep 7 · 11:00R. Turrini1.011211113C. Schmitt13.0010760
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