TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13090007
Played Sep 7Finished
Rafael Turrini
Home
1.04
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114117––––
Kento Waltl
Away
9.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:12 and never touched — 89.6% is still 89.6%
Graded at full timeRafael Turrini to win
89.6%
89.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafael Turrini above · Kento Waltl below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Rafael Turrini at 89.6%
50 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Turrini
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Turrini 2055 vs Waltl 1187
Turrini
Correct
both rated, 868 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Turrini 60% vs Waltl 0%
Turrini
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Turrini 80% vs Waltl 10%
Turrini
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Turrini -1 · Waltl -5
Waltl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Turrini)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Waltl form (0%) is below what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTurrini 1.04 / Waltl 9.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Turrini)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13090007
Turrini1.04
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Waltl9.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTurriniWaltlBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 237 vs 3 / 1186.1%27.3%204 / 237 vs 3 / 11Avg sets wonper match2.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.732.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniTurrini 1.04/Waltl 9.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.6%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Turrini won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Turrini10
LSep 7 · 12:30R. Turrini1.101051541M. Henninger6.50121113113WSep 7 · 11:00R. Turrini1.011211113C. Schmitt13.0010760WSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113WSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120LJul 22 · 20:55R. Turrini—5970E. Otalvaro—1111113WJul 21 · 20:35R. Turrini—11911123V. Thiofilo—9112101WJun 2 · 11:00R. Turrini1.281111113D. Rinderer3.509750WJun 2 · 09:15R. Turrini1.171111123J. Shim4.5099100WJun 2 · 08:30R. Turrini1.501111113E. Mendes2.506870WJun 2 · 06:30R. Turrini1.131111113K. Zimmermann5.507840
K. Waltl10
LSep 7 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3511111113K. Waltl2.90761141LSep 7 · 12:00K. Waltl—91080S. Almeida—1112113LSep 7 · 09:30K. Waltl4.331187121V. Senkbeil1.2041111143LSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113LAug 11 · 10:00K. Waltl2.50851161J. Willeke1.5011114113LAug 11 · 08:45M. Danzer1.061111113K. Waltl8.003530WAug 11 · 07:00K. Waltl1.171112113M. Ozdemir4.5061050LAug 10 · 12:30M. Stefanidis—1111117113K. Waltl—56131192LAug 10 · 11:30M. Danzer1.081117113K. Waltl7.0051510LAug 10 · 09:58J. Willeke1.5312711113K. Waltl2.381011631
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