TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13091183
Played Sep 7Finished
Marco Stefanidis
Home
1.35
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117116111114––
Kento Waltl
Away
2.90
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKento Waltl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
117116111114––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:07What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Stefanidis
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stefanidis 1493 vs Waltl 1214
Stefanidis
Correct
both rated, 279 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefanidis 20% vs Waltl 0%
Stefanidis
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefanidis 20% vs Waltl 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefanidis -4 · Waltl -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Stefanidis) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Waltl form (0%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefanidis 1.35 / Waltl 2.90
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Stefanidis)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13091183
Stefanidis1.35
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Waltl2.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefanidisWaltlBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 173 vs 3 / 1038.2%30%66 / 173 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match33.633.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
StefanidisStefanidis 1.35/Waltl 2.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.2%
Stefanidis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stefanidis won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 10:30M. Stefanidis4.70119961M. Henninger1.1461111113LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113LAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850
K. Waltl10
LSep 7 · 12:00K. Waltl—91080S. Almeida—1112113LSep 7 · 09:30K. Waltl4.331187121V. Senkbeil1.2041111143LSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113LAug 11 · 10:00K. Waltl2.50851161J. Willeke1.5011114113LAug 11 · 08:45M. Danzer1.061111113K. Waltl8.003530WAug 11 · 07:00K. Waltl1.171112113M. Ozdemir4.5061050LAug 10 · 12:30M. Stefanidis—1111117113K. Waltl—56131192LAug 10 · 11:30M. Danzer1.081117113K. Waltl7.0051510LAug 10 · 09:58J. Willeke1.5312711113K. Waltl2.381011631WAug 10 · 09:00S. Amann2.3810111391K. Waltl1.5312715113
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