TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12395099
Played Aug 10Finished
Samuel Amann
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121171315911––
Kento Waltl
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–0Last 1Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:22 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeKento Waltl to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSamuel Amann above · Kento Waltl below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 88 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Kento Waltl at 60.8%
88 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Waltl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Amann 0% vs Waltl 100%
Waltl
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Amann 0% vs Waltl 100%
Waltl
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Amann -5 · Waltl +1
Amann
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Waltl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Waltl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAmann 2.38 / Waltl 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Waltl)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12395099
Amann2.38
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Waltl1.53
100%won 1 of 1 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 1 of 1
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAmannWaltlBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 62 vs 1 / 117.7%100%11 / 62 vs 1 / 1Avg sets wonper match1.13.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
WaltlAmann 2.38/Waltl 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Waltl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Waltl won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Amann10
LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113LAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113WAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113LAug 11 · 06:30J. Willeke1.201111113S. Amann4.334870LAug 10 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3211611113S. Amann3.00811891WAug 10 · 13:00J. Grauer2.00811471S. Amann1.7311811113
K. Waltl9
LSep 7 · 09:30K. Waltl4.331187121V. Senkbeil1.2041111143LSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113LAug 11 · 10:00K. Waltl2.50851161J. Willeke1.5011114113LAug 11 · 08:45M. Danzer1.061111113K. Waltl8.003530WAug 11 · 07:00K. Waltl1.171112113M. Ozdemir4.5061050LAug 10 · 12:30M. Stefanidis—1111117113K. Waltl—56131192LAug 10 · 11:30M. Danzer1.081117113K. Waltl7.0051510LAug 10 · 09:58J. Willeke1.5312711113K. Waltl2.381011631WAug 10 · 06:30J. Grauer—812111172K. Waltl—1110813113
Upcoming Matches
S. Amann
Nothing scheduled
K. Waltl1 of 5 neutral
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