TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13090010
Played Sep 7Finished
Kento Waltl
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–6Last 9Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1148117111214––
Vincent Senkbeil
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:13 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeVincent Senkbeil to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKento Waltl above · Vincent Senkbeil below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 78 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Vincent Senkbeil at 78.3%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Senkbeil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Waltl 1280 vs Senkbeil 1617
Senkbeil
Correct
both rated, 337 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Waltl 20% vs Senkbeil 80%
Senkbeil
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Waltl 33% vs Senkbeil 60%
Senkbeil
Correct
27pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Waltl -3 · Senkbeil -1
Waltl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Senkbeil)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWaltl 4.33 / Senkbeil 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Senkbeil)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13090010
Waltl4.33
33%won 3 of 9 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Senkbeil1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWaltlSenkbeilBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 8 vs 19 / 3737.5%51.4%3 / 8 vs 19 / 37Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.436.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenkbeilWaltl 4.33/Senkbeil 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Senkbeil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Senkbeil won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Waltl9
LSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113LAug 11 · 10:00K. Waltl2.50851161J. Willeke1.5011114113LAug 11 · 08:45M. Danzer1.061111113K. Waltl8.003530WAug 11 · 07:00K. Waltl1.171112113M. Ozdemir4.5061050LAug 10 · 12:30M. Stefanidis—1111117113K. Waltl—56131192LAug 10 · 11:30M. Danzer1.081117113K. Waltl7.0051510LAug 10 · 09:58J. Willeke1.5312711113K. Waltl2.381011631WAug 10 · 09:00S. Amann2.3810111391K. Waltl1.5312715113WAug 10 · 06:30J. Grauer—812111172K. Waltl—1110813113
V. Senkbeil10
LSep 7 · 07:30M. Henninger1.61111011113V. Senkbeil2.20412891WMar 6 · 11:28O. Naplokov—4990V. Senkbeil—1111113WMar 6 · 09:00M. Hardikar3.757780V. Senkbeil1.251111113WMar 6 · 08:00V. Senkbeil1.611112123L. Kraus2.20710100WMar 5 · 16:30D. Zech4.507101331V. Senkbeil1.17111211113WMar 5 · 14:30O. Naplokov2.38311741V. Senkbeil1.5311711113LMar 5 · 13:00R. Turrini1.13111310113V. Senkbeil5.509111221WMar 5 · 10:00M. Henninger1.534770V. Senkbeil2.381111113LMar 5 · 08:00M. Danzer1.2081211113V. Senkbeil4.331110881LSep 26 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.17141112113V. Senkbeil4.501281471
Upcoming Matches
K. Waltl1 of 5 neutral
V. Senkbeil1 of 5 neutral
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