TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 21Finished
Siddharta Almeida
Home
2.59
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611119711––
Rafael Turrini
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafael Turrini to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
811611119711––
H2H Siddharta Almeida 0–3 Rafael Turrini Siddharta Almeida has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Turrini
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Turrini
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Almeida 1557 vs Turrini 2010
Turrini
Correct
both rated, 453 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Almeida 60% vs Turrini 40%
Almeida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Almeida 60% vs Turrini 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Almeida +2 · Turrini +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Turrini) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Turrini form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlmeida 2.59 / Turrini 1.45
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Turrini)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13165522
Almeida2.59
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Turrini1.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite85% won 56 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAlmeida0wins
AwayTurrini3wins
Turrini leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAlmeidan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayTurrini100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Almeida0Turrini3n = 3Turrini took 3 of 3
S2Almeida1Turrini2n = 3Turrini took 2 of 3
S3Almeida0Turrini3n = 3Turrini took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricAlmeidaTurriniA − TBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match20.736.3−15.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlmeidaTurriniBasisWin rate · lifetime16 / 30 vs 209 / 24553.3%85.3%16 / 30 vs 209 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TurriniAlmeida 2.59/Turrini 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Turrini · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Turrini won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 7 · 07:00S. Almeida2154120R. Turrini361111143
LJun 2 · 10:00S. Almeida31511781R. Turrini4011711113
LMay 19 · 08:00S. Almeida104420R. Turrini331111113
S. Almeida10
WSep 21 · 07:30S. Almeida—1111113C. Schmitt—9850WSep 15 · 08:30S. Almeida1.73111111123T. Saltzer1.981366101LSep 15 · 06:30S. Almeida2.256690I. Bertrand1.571111113LSep 14 · 16:00S. Almeida—5980J. Loffler—1111113WSep 14 · 12:30S. Almeida2.301111123S. Happek1.5576100LSep 14 · 11:00S. Almeida—10490Y. Su—1211113WSep 14 · 08:30J. Lama—9550S. Almeida—1111113LSep 14 · 07:00S. Almeida2.10145391E. Mendes1.65121111113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Stefanidis—61113762S. Almeida—1151111113WSep 8 · 07:00S. Almeida1.7511911113C. Schmitt1.95911861
R. Turrini10
WSep 21 · 07:00O. Kosolosky6.50951181R. Turrini1.1011117113LSep 8 · 10:39K. Fadeev3.401111126113R. Turrini1.30134101192LSep 8 · 09:45M. Henninger4.801111113R. Turrini1.154490WSep 8 · 08:30R. Turrini1.131411113V. Senkbeil5.5012670LSep 8 · 06:30R. Turrini1.201211471K. Fadeev4.3314811113WSep 7 · 16:00R. Turrini1.041111113K. Waltl9.006470LSep 7 · 12:30R. Turrini1.101051541M. Henninger6.50121113113WSep 7 · 11:00R. Turrini1.011211113C. Schmitt13.0010760WSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113WSep 7 · 07:00R. Turrini1.321111143S. Almeida2.9554120
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