TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13101124
Played Sep 11Finished
Dauud Cheaib
Home
1.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181210611911311
Marco Stefanidis
Away
2.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 82.5% is still 82.5%
Graded at full timeDauud Cheaib to win
82.5%
82.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210611911311
H2H Dauud Cheaib 6–0 Marco Stefanidis Marco Stefanidis has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Cheaib
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Cheaib
Wrong
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cheaib 1935 vs Stefanidis 1459
Cheaib
Wrong
both rated, 475 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cheaib 60% vs Stefanidis 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cheaib 70% vs Stefanidis 40%
Cheaib
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cheaib -1 · Stefanidis -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Cheaib) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefanidis form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCheaib 1.45 / Stefanidis 2.55
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Cheaib)+1.6pp
Challenger Series TT · #13101124
Cheaib1.45
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Stefanidis2.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeCheaib6wins
AwayStefanidis0wins
Cheaib leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCheaib100%6 of 6
AwayStefanidisn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cheaib6Stefanidis0n = 6Cheaib took 6 of 6
S2Cheaib5Stefanidis1n = 6Cheaib took 5 of 6
S3Cheaib5Stefanidis1n = 6Cheaib took 5 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home467%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricCheaibStefanidisC − SBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match36.019.8+16.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCheaibStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 90 vs 69 / 18380%37.7%72 / 90 vs 69 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.833.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CheaibCheaib 1.45/Stefanidis 2.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.4%
Cheaib · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stefanidis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 14 · 06:30D. Cheaib—1111113M. Stefanidis—2750
WDec 8 · 15:30D. Cheaib—1111113M. Stefanidis—8820
WSep 25 · 11:00D. Cheaib—1111113M. Stefanidis—6540
WAug 21 · 13:05D. Cheaib—1113113M. Stefanidis—61130
WFeb 24 · 09:30D. Cheaib—11117113M. Stefanidis—881121
WJan 21 · 08:30D. Cheaib—11911113M. Stefanidis—411441
D. Cheaib10
LSep 10 · 17:00D. Cheaib1.331110191M. Henninger3.2581211113WSep 10 · 15:00D. Cheaib1.071111113K. Moosmann7.506470WSep 10 · 14:00D. Cheaib1.011111113S. Amann12.007630WSep 10 · 10:30D. Cheaib1.0211711113D. Zech10.50711331LSep 10 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.17150T. Pellny4.50171WSep 10 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.0711811113M. Bott7.50811671LAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.051111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 11 · 07:00M. Stefanidis2.6575100M. Bott1.401111123LSep 10 · 16:00M. Henninger—511117113M. Stefanidis—11891132WSep 10 · 14:00K. Moosmann—610100M. Stefanidis—1112123WSep 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.78116891M. Stefanidis1.9481111113WSep 10 · 09:40D. Zech—1M. Stefanidis—3LSep 10 · 07:00T. Pellny1.66111111113M. Stefanidis2.05813841LSep 8 · 08:00M. Stefanidis—61113762S. Almeida—1151111113LSep 7 · 17:00M. Stefanidis—11211842V. Senkbeil—911711113LSep 7 · 15:00M. Stefanidis—761171K. Fadeev—11117113WSep 7 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3511111113K. Waltl2.90761141
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