TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13101127
Played Sep 10Finished
Marius Henninger
Home
No price at publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511118119711113
Marco Stefanidis
Away
No price at publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeMarius Henninger to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
511118119711113
H2H Marius Henninger 4–0 Marco Stefanidis Marco Stefanidis has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
No price
—
No value
no price published for this match
H2H
4-0 in 4
Henninger
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Henninger 1752 vs Stefanidis 1485
Henninger
Correct
both rated, 266 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Henninger 100% vs Stefanidis 60%
Henninger
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Henninger 90% vs Stefanidis 40%
Henninger
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Henninger +5 · Stefanidis +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Henninger) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
No odds data available
Challenger Series TT · #13101127
Henninger
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Stefanidis
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHenninger4wins
AwayStefanidis0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderHenninger leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHenninger100%3 of 3
AwayStefanidisn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Henninger3Stefanidis1n = 4Henninger took 3 of 4
S2Henninger3Stefanidis1n = 4Henninger took 3 of 4
S3Henninger4Stefanidis0n = 4Henninger took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHenningerStefanidisH − SBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.831.0+7.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHenningerStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 109 vs 69 / 18156%38.1%61 / 109 vs 69 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.033.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HenningerRead onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Henninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Henninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 7 · 10:30M. Henninger—61111113M. Stefanidis—119961
WAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger—1113123M. Stefanidis—311100
WOct 13 · 07:30M. Henninger—1111113M. Stefanidis—7680
WJan 10 · 07:30M. Henninger—119115113M. Stefanidis—81191152
M. Henninger10
WSep 10 · 17:00D. Cheaib1.331110191M. Henninger3.2581211113WSep 10 · 13:00M. Henninger1.131111113M. Bott5.509230WSep 10 · 11:30K. Moosmann6.5010770M. Henninger1.101211113WSep 10 · 09:30S. Amann8.000M. Henninger1.063WSep 10 · 07:30D. Zech7.003890M. Henninger1.081111113WSep 8 · 11:00V. Senkbeil2.00119581M. Henninger1.7371111113WSep 8 · 09:45M. Henninger4.801111113R. Turrini1.154490WSep 8 · 07:30M. Henninger1.061511113K. Waltl8.0013130LSep 7 · 16:30M. Henninger2.0061250K. Fadeev1.731114113WSep 7 · 14:30M. Henninger1.0511116113C. Schmitt8.50751171
M. Stefanidis10
WSep 10 · 14:00K. Moosmann—610100M. Stefanidis—1112123WSep 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.78116891M. Stefanidis1.9481111113WSep 10 · 09:40D. Zech—1M. Stefanidis—3LSep 10 · 07:00T. Pellny1.66111111113M. Stefanidis2.05813841LSep 8 · 08:00M. Stefanidis—61113762S. Almeida—1151111113LSep 7 · 17:00M. Stefanidis—11211842V. Senkbeil—911711113LSep 7 · 15:00M. Stefanidis—761171K. Fadeev—11117113WSep 7 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3511111113K. Waltl2.90761141LSep 7 · 10:30M. Stefanidis4.70119961M. Henninger1.1461111113LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113
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