TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13101125
Played Sep 11Finished
Marco Stefanidis
Home
2.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7115111012––––
Markus Bott
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarkus Bott to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
7115111012––––
H2H Marco Stefanidis 0–1 Markus Bott Marco Stefanidis has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Bott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stefanidis 1459 vs Bott 1420
Stefanidis
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefanidis 60% vs Bott 40%
Stefanidis
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefanidis 40% vs Bott 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefanidis -1 · Bott +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Bott) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bott form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefanidis 2.65 / Bott 1.40
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Bott)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13101125
Stefanidis2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Bott1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStefanidis0wins
AwayBott1wins
Bott leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricStefanidisBottS − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match22.034.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefanidisBottBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 183 vs 5 / 1437.7%35.7%69 / 183 vs 5 / 14Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match33.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BottStefanidis 2.65/Bott 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.4%
Bott · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 11 · 07:00M. Stefanidis—75100M. Bott—1111123
M. Stefanidis10
WSep 11 · 08:00D. Cheaib1.4511126932M. Stefanidis2.558101111113LSep 10 · 16:00M. Henninger—511117113M. Stefanidis—11891132WSep 10 · 14:00K. Moosmann—610100M. Stefanidis—1112123WSep 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.78116891M. Stefanidis1.9481111113WSep 10 · 09:40D. Zech—1M. Stefanidis—3LSep 10 · 07:00T. Pellny1.66111111113M. Stefanidis2.05813841LSep 8 · 08:00M. Stefanidis—61113762S. Almeida—1151111113LSep 7 · 17:00M. Stefanidis—11211842V. Senkbeil—911711113LSep 7 · 15:00M. Stefanidis—761171K. Fadeev—11117113WSep 7 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3511111113K. Waltl2.90761141
M. Bott10
WSep 10 · 17:30S. Amann3.505550M. Bott1.281111113LSep 10 · 14:30D. Zech2.2511513113M. Bott1.579111181LSep 10 · 13:00M. Henninger1.131111113M. Bott5.509230LSep 10 · 11:00T. Pellny1.331110118143M. Bott3.25512611122WSep 10 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.10116881M. Bott1.6791111113LSep 10 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.0711811113M. Bott7.50811671LOct 3 · 08:00M. Hollo1.201211113M. Bott4.3310980LOct 3 · 07:00M. Bott3.5011121191M. Scharrer1.2813149113WOct 2 · 15:30G. Patil1.83391181M. Bott1.8311117113LOct 2 · 13:30C. Chang1.5011511113M. Bott2.50911991
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.