TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Tomas Kanka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116811511––
David Brichacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTomas Kanka above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kanka 3–3 David Brichacek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kanka beat Brichacek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanka 1.73 / Brichacek 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brichacek)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13163540
Kanka1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it73% 24 of 33
Brichacek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 51 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back41% 23 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKanka3wins
AwayBrichacek3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanka75%3 of 4
AwayBrichacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanka4Brichacek2n = 6Kanka took 4 of 6
S2Kanka3Brichacek3n = 6split evenly
S3Kanka4Brichacek2n = 6Kanka took 4 of 6
S4Kanka2Brichacek1n = 3Kanka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricKankaBrichacekK − BBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match38.238.20.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKankaBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 376 vs 180 / 33348.1%54.1%181 / 376 vs 180 / 333Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekKanka 1.73/Brichacek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 20 · 06:00T. Kanka341211113D. Brichacek2610880
WSep 12 · 07:45T. Kanka411117133D. Brichacek35915110
LJun 25 · 18:00T. Kanka187740D. Brichacek331111113
LJun 20 · 06:15T. Kanka4276111172D. Brichacek45111175113
LMay 1 · 17:30T. Kanka501112107102D. Brichacek549101211123
WMar 29 · 10:00T. Kanka4413911113D. Brichacek361111591
T. Kanka10
LSep 20 · 08:00T. Kanka2.2048110P. Orlowski1.611111133LSep 20 · 06:30L. Kolman1.50111196113T. Kanka2.5069111182WSep 20 · 06:00D. Brichacek1.6110880T. Kanka2.201211113LSep 12 · 08:24T. Kanka2.2018760Z. Kuksa1.612011113WSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133LSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471LSep 12 · 05:15M. Taranko2.6351115113T. Kanka1.441141391WSep 8 · 12:14L. Kolman1.5051080T. Kanka2.501112113LSep 8 · 11:15T. Kanka1.911312491M. Svitac1.80111411113LSep 8 · 10:15T. Kanka2.38116651Z. Vasatko1.5361111113
D. Brichacek10
LSep 20 · 07:30L. Kolman1.73113514113D. Brichacek2.00911111252LSep 20 · 07:00D. Brichacek1.57211841P. Orlowski2.2511511113LSep 20 · 06:00D. Brichacek1.6110880T. Kanka2.201211113WSep 19 · 09:09D. Brichacek1.671111113P. Orlowski2.109880WSep 19 · 08:00J. Jnr1.91111110432D. Brichacek1.80881211113LSep 19 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.1011115113D. Brichacek1.67451181WSep 19 · 05:30L. Stoces2.3812690D. Brichacek1.531411113WSep 17 · 20:44P. Orlowski1.919960D. Brichacek1.801111113WSep 17 · 19:15D. Brichacek1.911111113P. Oplt1.805870LSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133
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