TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
David Brichacek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211115811411––
Petr Orlowski
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Petr Orlowski below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 63 set 4, 4-11 — our read held David Brichacek at 59.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H David Brichacek 9–9 Petr Orlowski Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Brichacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brichacek 1688 vs Orlowski 1687
Brichacek
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brichacek 60% vs Orlowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brichacek 70% vs Orlowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brichacek -1 · Orlowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orlowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 1.57 / Orlowski 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Brichacek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161192
Brichacek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 107 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it77% 75 of 97
Orlowski2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog53% won 39 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back34% 13 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrichacek4wins
AwayOrlowski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOrlowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrichacek60%3 of 5
AwayOrlowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brichacek5Orlowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Brichacek6Orlowski4n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S3Brichacek6Orlowski4n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S4Brichacek2Orlowski5n = 7Orlowski took 5 of 7
S5Brichacek1Orlowski2n = 3Orlowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrichacekOrlowskiB − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.337.3−2.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekOrlowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 333 vs 192 / 35854.1%53.6%180 / 333 vs 192 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekBrichacek 1.57/Orlowski 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Orlowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 07:00D. Brichacek25211841P. Orlowski3811511113
WSep 19 · 09:09D. Brichacek331111113P. Orlowski259880
LSep 19 · 07:00D. Brichacek28451181P. Orlowski3811115113
WSep 17 · 20:44D. Brichacek331111113P. Orlowski249960
LSep 17 · 17:15D. Brichacek4711771572P. Orlowski548111113113
WSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek341111123P. Orlowski2275100
LSep 7 · 17:30D. Brichacek30571261P. Orlowski43111110113
WSep 4 · 21:33D. Brichacek41611211113P. Orlowski4411811592
LSep 4 · 18:00D. Brichacek32871161P. Orlowski3911116113
LAug 23 · 06:45D. Brichacek50111179122P. Orlowski46821111143
D. Brichacek10
LSep 20 · 07:30L. Kolman1.73113514113D. Brichacek2.00911111252LSep 20 · 06:00D. Brichacek1.6110880T. Kanka2.201211113WSep 19 · 09:09D. Brichacek1.671111113P. Orlowski2.109880WSep 19 · 08:00J. Jnr1.91111110432D. Brichacek1.80881211113LSep 19 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.1011115113D. Brichacek1.67451181WSep 19 · 05:30L. Stoces2.3812690D. Brichacek1.531411113WSep 17 · 20:44P. Orlowski1.919960D. Brichacek1.801111113WSep 17 · 19:15D. Brichacek1.911111113P. Oplt1.805870WSep 17 · 18:15D. Brichacek1.7311116113M. Hajek2.00781191LSep 17 · 17:15D. Brichacek1.7311771572P. Orlowski2.008111113113
P. Orlowski10
WSep 20 · 05:30L. Kolman1.91413691P. Orlowski1.80111111113LSep 19 · 09:09D. Brichacek1.671111113P. Orlowski2.109880WSep 19 · 07:30L. Stoces1.805470P. Orlowski1.911111113WSep 19 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.1011115113D. Brichacek1.67451181LSep 19 · 06:00P. Orlowski1.911091214152J. Jnr1.8012111012173LSep 17 · 20:44P. Orlowski1.919960D. Brichacek1.801111113WSep 17 · 19:45M. Hajek1.735970P. Orlowski2.001111113LSep 17 · 18:45P. Oplt1.671114611113P. Orlowski2.1091611872WSep 17 · 17:15D. Brichacek1.7311771572P. Orlowski2.008111113113WSep 9 · 20:43J. Jnr1.8311118972P. Orlowski1.83851111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.