TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13161742
Played Sep 19Finished
David Mikula
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311711911811––
Radim Kvasnicka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Radim Kvasnicka below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11
81 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 4–1 Radim Kvasnicka Radim Kvasnicka has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Mikula beat Kvasnicka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kvasnicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvasnicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.83 / Kvasnicka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13161742
Mikula1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kvasnicka1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMikula4wins
AwayKvasnicka1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMikula leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikulan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKvasnicka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikula2Kvasnicka3n = 5Kvasnicka took 3 of 5
S2Mikula4Kvasnicka1n = 5Mikula took 4 of 5
S3Mikula5Kvasnicka0n = 5Mikula took 5 of 5
S4Mikula1Kvasnicka2n = 3Kvasnicka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMikulaKvasnickaM − KBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match39.234.2+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaKvasnickaBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 355 vs 62 / 11546.5%53.9%165 / 355 vs 62 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaMikula 1.83/Kvasnicka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kvasnicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 19 · 20:00D. Mikula47513117113R. Kvasnicka45111151172
LAug 15 · 14:00D. Mikula377121171R. Kvasnicka4211146113
WApr 13 · 20:00D. Mikula351112123R. Kvasnicka22210100
WApr 10 · 20:00D. Mikula361111143R. Kvasnicka2567120
WMar 16 · 19:30D. Mikula4151112133R. Kvasnicka3711510111
D. Mikula10
WSep 19 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka2.00111151172D. Mikula1.73513117113WSep 19 · 19:00A. Schneeberger3.00111011742D. Mikula1.36212911113WSep 19 · 18:30D. Mikula1.4011138113Z. Zientek2.758111141WSep 15 · 09:30D. Tyn1.82911101142D. Mikula1.85119126113WSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula1.531111113Z. Zientek2.388540LSep 15 · 07:30D. Tyn2.25111011113D. Mikula1.57712981WSep 15 · 06:00D. Mikula1.67117811113V. Kocian2.1061111542LSep 9 · 09:00J. Stach1.70131212113D. Mikula2.0011101491LSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113LSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113
R. Kvasnicka10
LSep 19 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka2.00111151172D. Mikula1.73513117113WSep 19 · 19:30Z. Zientek2.382911101R. Kvasnicka1.5311119123WSep 19 · 18:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111175113A. Schneeberger2.5088111152WSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113WSep 12 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka1.731111113113D. Priesol2.0015131162LSep 12 · 11:30D. Kolek2.63111148113R. Kvasnicka1.4499111172WSep 12 · 10:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111488113A. Schneeberger2.50112111142WAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102WAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113WAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332
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