TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Dmytro Tsys
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9119111210811––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Tsys above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Tsys 33–33 Oleh Torianyk Dead even across their 66 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-33 in 66
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tsys 1568 vs Torianyk 1620
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tsys 0% vs Torianyk 40%
Torianyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tsys 40% vs Torianyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tsys -5 · Torianyk +1
Tsys
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTsys 2.00 / Torianyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Torianyk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13161529
Tsys2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back35% 12 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Torianyk1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 100 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it82% 75 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTsys3wins
AwayTorianyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTorianyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTsys0%0 of 3
AwayTorianyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tsys3Torianyk7n = 10Torianyk took 7 of 10
S2Tsys4Torianyk6n = 10Torianyk took 6 of 10
S3Tsys5Torianyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Tsys5Torianyk5n = 10split evenly
S5Tsys1Torianyk2n = 3Torianyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTsysTorianykTsys − TorianykBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.041.9−2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTsysTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 241 vs 285 / 51050.2%55.9%121 / 241 vs 285 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykTsys 2.00/Torianyk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 06:30D. Tsys38991281O. Torianyk43111110113
WSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys51991111113O. Torianyk4411119762
WSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys4071111113O. Torianyk31116951
LSep 4 · 12:30D. Tsys4511971172O. Torianyk49911117113
WAug 22 · 10:09D. Tsys4381113113O. Torianyk401191191
LAug 22 · 05:30D. Tsys311241051O. Torianyk44101112113
LAug 21 · 08:30D. Tsys348111051O. Torianyk4311912113
LAug 20 · 14:30D. Tsys4177111152O. Torianyk47111177113
LAug 15 · 10:40D. Tsys33117961O. Torianyk3741111113
LAug 15 · 05:00D. Tsys34911591O. Torianyk4111811113
D. Tsys10
LSep 20 · 05:00D. Tsys1.831155101P. Kolesnik1.8391111123LSep 19 · 17:04I. Dubinin2.7511911113D. Tsys1.40611661LSep 19 · 16:30P. Kolesnik2.0081111113D. Tsys1.73113581LSep 19 · 15:00D. Tsys1.2881111762I. Dubinin3.5011751193LSep 19 · 13:30D. Tsys1.91841151M. Levytskii1.801111773WSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys2.00991111113O. Torianyk1.7311119762WSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660
O. Torianyk10
WSep 20 · 07:30O. Torianyk1.441111113P. Kolesnik2.638880WSep 20 · 05:30O. Torianyk1.251112113N. Priadko3.7531090LSep 19 · 16:00I. Dubinin3.5011119113O. Torianyk1.28971141LSep 19 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44111112113O. Torianyk2.63631461WSep 19 · 13:00P. Kolesnik2.6391111962O. Torianyk1.44118711113LSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys2.00991111113O. Torianyk1.7311119762LSep 13 · 10:10O. Torianyk2.3811371282S. Bului1.537111110113LSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk1.40117881P. Kolesnik2.7571111113LSep 13 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.5011911113O. Torianyk2.50811481WSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123
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