TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleh Torianyk
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131210119––––
Nikita Priadko
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Torianyk above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 77.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Torianyk 1–0 Nikita Priadko Nikita Priadko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Torianyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Torianyk 1592 vs Priadko 1311
Torianyk
Correct
both rated, 282 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torianyk 20% vs Priadko 60%
Priadko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torianyk 30% vs Priadko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Torianyk -2 · Priadko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorianyk 1.25 / Priadko 3.75
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Torianyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161217
Torianyk1.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 100 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it82% 75 of 91
Priadko3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 4 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTorianyk1wins
AwayPriadko0wins
Torianyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTorianykPriadkoT − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.027.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorianykPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 507 vs 12 / 3755.6%32.4%282 / 507 vs 12 / 37Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.634.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykTorianyk 1.25/Priadko 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Torianyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 06:00O. Torianyk341211113N. Priadko2710890
O. Torianyk10
WSep 20 · 06:30D. Tsys2.00991281O. Torianyk1.73111110113LSep 19 · 16:00I. Dubinin3.5011119113O. Torianyk1.28971141LSep 19 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44111112113O. Torianyk2.63631461WSep 19 · 13:00P. Kolesnik2.6391111962O. Torianyk1.44118711113LSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys2.00991111113O. Torianyk1.7311119762LSep 13 · 10:10O. Torianyk2.3811371282S. Bului1.537111110113LSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk1.40117881P. Kolesnik2.7571111113LSep 13 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.5011911113O. Torianyk2.50811481WSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 05:30S. Bului1.50111211113O. Torianyk2.50814661
N. Priadko10
LSep 18 · 10:33N. Priadko1.911131071M. Pohorilyi1.8081112113WSep 18 · 08:30I. Sorochan1.739970N. Priadko2.001111113LSep 18 · 07:30N. Priadko2.25111310111P. Shulhachyk1.5771512133WSep 18 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.36711811102N. Priadko3.00118118123WSep 18 · 05:30N. Priadko1.36111311113S. Honcharenko3.007111381LSep 17 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.401111113N. Priadko2.758980LSep 17 · 14:30N. Priadko1.8065111182P. Shulhachyk1.91111183113LSep 17 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.101111113N. Priadko1.676590LSep 17 · 12:30N. Priadko2.1017101161R. Hryhoriev1.6719126113WSep 11 · 10:10S. Honcharenko2.009980N. Priadko1.731111113
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