TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148550
Played Sep 18Finished
Nikita Priadko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117131510121113––
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timePavlo Shulhachyk to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNikita Priadko above · Pavlo Shulhachyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 92 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Pavlo Shulhachyk at 64.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Nikita Priadko 0–2 Pavlo Shulhachyk Nikita Priadko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Shulhachyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1300 vs Shulhachyk 1409
Shulhachyk
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 40% vs Shulhachyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 40% vs Shulhachyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +2 · Shulhachyk -3
Shulhachyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Shulhachyk) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shulhachyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 2.25 / Shulhachyk 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Shulhachyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148550
Priadko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog17% won 2 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Shulhachyk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 48 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it80% 37 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePriadko0wins
AwayShulhachyk2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderShulhachyk leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPriadkoShulhachykP − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.045.5−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoShulhachykBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 36 vs 174 / 29533.3%59%12 / 36 vs 174 / 295Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShulhachykPriadko 2.25/Shulhachyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Shulhachyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shulhachyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 18 · 07:30N. Priadko45111310111P. Shulhachyk4771512133
LSep 17 · 14:30N. Priadko4165111182P. Shulhachyk44111183113
N. Priadko10
WSep 18 · 08:30I. Sorochan1.739970N. Priadko2.001111113WSep 18 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.36711811102N. Priadko3.00118118123WSep 18 · 05:30N. Priadko1.36111311113S. Honcharenko3.007111381LSep 17 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.401111113N. Priadko2.758980LSep 17 · 14:30N. Priadko1.8065111182P. Shulhachyk1.91111183113LSep 17 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.101111113N. Priadko1.676590LSep 17 · 12:30N. Priadko2.1017101161R. Hryhoriev1.6719126113WSep 11 · 10:10S. Honcharenko2.009980N. Priadko1.731111113WSep 11 · 09:30N. Priadko3.00114711123M. Pohorilyi1.36811119102LSep 11 · 08:30N. Priadko2.2551181442V. Simchuk1.57119111263
P. Shulhachyk10
LSep 18 · 09:00S. Honcharenko3.501111123P. Shulhachyk1.2855100LSep 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.101111113P. Shulhachyk1.674640LSep 18 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.611112113P. Shulhachyk2.2051060LSep 17 · 17:44P. Shulhachyk1.911111221M. Pohorilyi1.8071311113WSep 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev3.757440P. Shulhachyk1.251111113WSep 17 · 14:30N. Priadko1.8065111182P. Shulhachyk1.91111183113LSep 17 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.731512711113P. Shulhachyk2.00131411982WSep 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin1.736131191P. Shulhachyk2.0011159113WSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152LSep 15 · 09:00V. Matviichuk4.5011118133P. Shulhachyk1.177611111
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