TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13147875
Played Sep 17Finished
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1171113211211––
Mykola Pohorilyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingPavlo Shulhachyk above · Mykola Pohorilyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 68 set 4, 2-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Shulhachyk 23–23 Mykola Pohorilyi Dead even across their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Pohorilyi beat Shulhachyk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pohorilyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohorilyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShulhachyk 1.91 / Pohorilyi 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pohorilyi)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13147875
Shulhachyk1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 13 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Pohorilyi1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 124 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it88% 99 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShulhachyk4wins
AwayPohorilyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPohorilyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShulhachyk60%3 of 5
AwayPohorilyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shulhachyk5Pohorilyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Shulhachyk7Pohorilyi3n = 10Shulhachyk took 7 of 10
S3Shulhachyk5Pohorilyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Shulhachyk3Pohorilyi6n = 9Pohorilyi took 6 of 9
S5Shulhachyk1Pohorilyi3n = 4Pohorilyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShulhachykPohorilyiS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.739.6−0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShulhachykPohorilyiBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 294 vs 359 / 62159.5%57.8%175 / 294 vs 359 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiShulhachyk 1.91/Pohorilyi 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 13:00P. Shulhachyk55131411982M. Pohorilyi561512711113
LAug 27 · 07:00P. Shulhachyk4481116542M. Pohorilyi531161411113
WAug 18 · 10:28P. Shulhachyk331111113M. Pohorilyi131840
WAug 18 · 05:00P. Shulhachyk46111311113M. Pohorilyi28815231
WAug 11 · 06:30P. Shulhachyk4011117113M. Pohorilyi32791151
LAug 10 · 13:00P. Shulhachyk30611851M. Pohorilyi3911611113
LAug 6 · 13:30P. Shulhachyk27116731M. Pohorilyi4181111113
LAug 4 · 14:30P. Shulhachyk326111141M. Pohorilyi4411913113
WJul 29 · 05:00P. Shulhachyk41511311113M. Pohorilyi4411811952
LJul 28 · 15:30P. Shulhachyk3911511662M. Pohorilyi46611711113
P. Shulhachyk10
WSep 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev3.757440P. Shulhachyk1.251111113WSep 17 · 14:30N. Priadko1.8065111182P. Shulhachyk1.91111183113LSep 17 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.731512711113P. Shulhachyk2.00131411982WSep 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin1.736131191P. Shulhachyk2.0011159113WSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152LSep 15 · 09:00V. Matviichuk4.5011118133P. Shulhachyk1.177611111WSep 15 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.4071080P. Shulhachyk1.301112113WSep 15 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.507670P. Shulhachyk1.501111113WSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113
M. Pohorilyi10
WSep 17 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40117411123I. Dubinin2.75411118102WSep 17 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.401111113N. Priadko2.758980WSep 17 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.441111133R. Hryhoriev2.6349110WSep 17 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.731512711113P. Shulhachyk2.00131411982WSep 11 · 10:42S. Sideltsev2.55121112912M. Pohorilyi1.451011411113LSep 11 · 09:30N. Priadko3.00114711123M. Pohorilyi1.36811119102WSep 11 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.505670WSep 11 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.53129122113V. Simchuk2.381011101192WSep 11 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.221112113S. Honcharenko4.0051040WSep 10 · 17:33V. Simchuk2.359111031M. Pohorilyi1.5211712113
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