TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13114443
Played Sep 11Finished
Sergii Sideltsev
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101111214911111
Mykola Pohorilyi
Away
1.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Mykola Pohorilyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 1-11
Point 92 set 5, 1-11
92 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 12–27 Mykola Pohorilyi Sergii Sideltsev has won 12 of their 39 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Pohorilyi beat Sideltsev 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Pohorilyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohorilyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 2.55 / Pohorilyi 1.45
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Pohorilyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13114443
Sideltsev2.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 30 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Pohorilyi1.45
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 127 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it93% 70 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it87% 102 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSideltsev3wins
AwayPohorilyi7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPohorilyi leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSideltsev75%3 of 4
AwayPohorilyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sideltsev4Pohorilyi6n = 10Pohorilyi took 6 of 10
S2Sideltsev5Pohorilyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Sideltsev2Pohorilyi8n = 10Pohorilyi took 8 of 10
S4Sideltsev1Pohorilyi5n = 6Pohorilyi took 5 of 6
S5Sideltsev3Pohorilyi3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSideltsevPohorilyiS − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.242.5−5.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevPohorilyiBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 421 vs 357 / 62558.7%57.1%247 / 421 vs 357 / 625Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohorilyiSideltsev 2.55/Pohorilyi 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Pohorilyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pohorilyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 08:00S. Sideltsev—5670M. Pohorilyi—1111113
LSep 5 · 05:30S. Sideltsev—91160M. Pohorilyi—1113113
LSep 2 · 06:00S. Sideltsev—31111662M. Pohorilyi—119811113
WAug 28 · 06:00S. Sideltsev—119712123M. Pohorilyi—9111110102
LAug 6 · 17:34S. Sideltsev—7770M. Pohorilyi—1111113
LAug 6 · 16:30S. Sideltsev—101030M. Pohorilyi—1212113
LAug 4 · 17:03S. Sideltsev—111113372M. Pohorilyi—271511113
LAug 4 · 12:30S. Sideltsev—51121972M. Pohorilyi—1151911113
WJul 29 · 08:00S. Sideltsev—1111118113M. Pohorilyi—48131182
WJul 23 · 09:00S. Sideltsev—111167113M. Pohorilyi—73111192
S. Sideltsev10
WSep 11 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.251111113S. Honcharenko3.757390LSep 11 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.505670WSep 11 · 07:00N. Priadko2.5041113692S. Sideltsev1.501181111113WSep 11 · 05:30V. Simchuk2.63851171S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 7 · 17:08S. Sideltsev2.6310960I. Dubinin1.441211113WSep 7 · 16:00I. Sorochan3.0010630S. Sideltsev1.361211113LSep 7 · 14:30N. Priadko3.2511111113S. Sideltsev1.33891171WSep 7 · 13:00S. Honcharenko4.3313513842S. Sideltsev1.2011111111113LSep 7 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.10114511113S. Sideltsev1.6791111682LSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980
M. Pohorilyi10
LSep 11 · 09:30N. Priadko3.00114711123M. Pohorilyi1.36811119102WSep 11 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.505670WSep 11 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.53129122113V. Simchuk2.381011101192WSep 11 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.221112113S. Honcharenko4.0051040WSep 10 · 17:33V. Simchuk2.359111031M. Pohorilyi1.5211712113LSep 10 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.366811111I. Dubinin3.0011118133WSep 10 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.441110511113R. Hryhoriev2.6321211882WSep 10 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.4411711113Y. Zvolynskyi2.63911731WSep 10 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.5312113123V. Simchuk2.3810911101LSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.