TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Piotr Staniszewski
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114811118118––
Mateusz Misiak
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeMateusz Misiak to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
114811118118––
H2H Piotr Staniszewski 6–1 Mateusz Misiak Mateusz Misiak has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Misiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Staniszewski
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniszewski 1360 vs Misiak 1310
Staniszewski
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniszewski 60% vs Misiak 20%
Staniszewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniszewski 60% vs Misiak 30%
Staniszewski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniszewski -1 · Misiak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Misiak) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Misiak form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniszewski 2.10 / Misiak 1.60
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Misiak)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13161310
Staniszewski2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 52 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Misiak1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 189 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it97% 114 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it81% 153 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeStaniszewski6wins
AwayMisiak1wins
3 of 7 to a deciderStaniszewski leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniszewski100%5 of 5
AwayMisiakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniszewski5Misiak2n = 7Staniszewski took 5 of 7
S2Staniszewski4Misiak3n = 7Staniszewski took 4 of 7
S3Staniszewski3Misiak4n = 7Misiak took 4 of 7
S4Staniszewski4Misiak3n = 7Staniszewski took 4 of 7
S5Staniszewski3Misiak0n = 3Staniszewski took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricStaniszewskiMisiakS − MBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match44.939.1+5.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniszewskiMisiakBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 858 vs 1021 / 192946.7%52.9%401 / 858 vs 1021 / 1929Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakStaniszewski 2.10/Misiak 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Staniszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 20 · 06:25P. Staniszewski4111811113M. Misiak31411881
WJun 7 · 10:35P. Staniszewski511110118113M. Misiak3961261142
WJun 7 · 07:20P. Staniszewski3612211113M. Misiak321011741
WMar 8 · 02:05P. Staniszewski3911125113M. Misiak333101191
WMar 7 · 23:40P. Staniszewski559121112113M. Misiak461110131022
LDec 14 · 01:15P. Staniszewski401111991M. Misiak4413911113
WDec 13 · 22:50P. Staniszewski521111811113M. Misiak4988111392
P. Staniszewski10
WSep 20 · 07:40P. Staniszewski2.00111179113I. Dabrowski1.7076111182LSep 20 · 05:15P. Staniszewski1.857711111M. Lukaszewski1.8011119133WSep 20 · 04:00K. Kufel1.617540P. Staniszewski2.201111113LSep 20 · 03:20P. Staniszewski2.2573111262M. Zagajewski1.541111310113WSep 20 · 24:35P. Staniszewski1.57111189133A. Eliasz2.20821111112WSep 19 · 23:45P. Krukar1.76911361P. Staniszewski1.9511911113WSep 19 · 22:35P. Staniszewski1.7591114123W. Gluszek1.9011312101LSep 19 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.0511119113P. Staniszewski1.68791191LSep 13 · 14:20M. Lukaszewski1.851112113P. Staniszewski1.8041080WSep 13 · 13:30M. Piecowski2.196760P. Staniszewski1.551111113
M. Misiak10
LSep 20 · 08:05M. Misiak1.6077111172M. Lukaszewski2.10111159113LSep 20 · 05:35K. Kufel1.66514119123M. Misiak2.101112711102WSep 20 · 04:50M. Misiak1.8011116113M. Zagajewski1.90961181LSep 20 · 03:40M. Misiak1.80961161I. Dabrowski1.9011119113LSep 11 · 14:20M. Misiak2.05714841B. Czerwinski1.65111211113LSep 11 · 12:40R. Stapor1.831111173M. Misiak1.8396150LSep 11 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.9211411113M. Misiak1.73811861LSep 11 · 11:00M. Misiak1.801166101M. Zagajewski1.8691111123WSep 11 · 09:50M. Misiak1.95116411133B. Mleczko1.74911117112LSep 11 · 08:35M. Misiak1.90871161R. Stapor1.8011119113
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