Ivo Palmi vs Alois Kanak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13153845

Played Sep 18Finished

Ivo Palmi

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

119811811118114

Alois Kanak

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingIvo Palmi above · Alois Kanak below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 11-4

Point 92 set 5, 11-4

92 points played in total.

H2H Ivo Palmi 5–8 Alois Kanak Ivo Palmi has won 5 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Kanak beat Palmi 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kanak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Palmi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPalmi 2.20 / Kanak 1.61

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Kanak)+0.4pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13153845

Palmi2.20

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog41% won 12 of 29

Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16

Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11

Kanak1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite43% won 23 of 53

Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePalmi3wins

AwayKanak7wins

5 of 10 to a deciderKanak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePalmin = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayKanak87.5%7 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Palmi2Kanak8n = 10Kanak took 8 of 10

S2Palmi5Kanak5n = 10split evenly

S3Palmi7Kanak3n = 10Palmi took 7 of 10

S4Palmi1Kanak5n = 6Kanak took 5 of 6

S5Palmi2Kanak2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricPalmiKanakP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.641.2−4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPalmiKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 130 vs 117 / 25143.1%46.6%56 / 130 vs 117 / 251Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kanak

Palmi 2.20/Kanak 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.1%

Kanak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Palmi won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record8

LSep 18 · 10:00I. Palmi4981115872A. Kanak551191311113

LSep 6 · 13:30I. Palmi188640A. Kanak331111113

LSep 6 · 12:30I. Palmi33712591A. Kanak43111011113

WAug 26 · 14:30I. Palmi47116117123A. Kanak49911811102

LNov 16 · 13:30I. Palmi2691070A. Kanak341112113

WNov 8 · 12:00I. Palmi331111113A. Kanak229580

LSep 16 · 11:00I. Palmi4481211582A. Kanak491110611113

WSep 12 · 16:30I. Palmi43411116113A. Kanak4511681192

I. Palmi10

WSep 18 · 12:30I. Palmi2.2511715113I. Kolenciak1.572111381 WSep 18 · 11:00I. Palmi1.8351111123J. Toth1.831185101 LSep 18 · 10:00A. Kanak1.611191311113I. Palmi2.2081115872 WSep 9 · 13:01I. Palmi1.6711912113Z. Luksa2.109111041 LSep 9 · 12:30J. Toth2.101110911123I. Palmi1.67612118102 WSep 9 · 11:30I. Palmi2.001311113Z. Luksa1.7311960 LSep 9 · 10:30I. Kolenciak1.53411812113I. Palmi2.38119111072 LSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640 LSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591 WSep 6 · 11:30I. Palmi3.0011511113I. Kolenciak1.36711781

A. Kanak10

WSep 18 · 12:00A. Kanak1.831911109113J. Toth1.83177121162 LSep 18 · 11:30I. Kolenciak1.8011118113A. Kanak1.91881191 WSep 18 · 10:00A. Kanak1.611191311113I. Palmi2.2081115872 WSep 14 · 21:02M. Blaha1.80711931A. Kanak1.9111611113 LSep 14 · 20:30A. Kanak2.7511561162M. Blaha1.40611115113 LSep 14 · 19:00A. Kanak1.6710990T. Navrat2.101211113 LSep 14 · 18:00R. Adamczyk1.401111113A. Kanak2.756470 WSep 6 · 13:30A. Kanak1.401111113I. Palmi2.758640 WSep 6 · 12:30A. Kanak1.80111011113I. Palmi1.91712591 WSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.

Decision Summary

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Event Chatroom

Decision Summary

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Event Chatroom

Today's matches are already sealed.