TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13152787
Played Sep 18Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811119811––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 77.7% is still 77.7%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
77.7%
77.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Hetnar above · Jakub Kaczmarek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Krzysztof Hetnar at 77.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 62–4 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 4 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Hetnar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-4 in 66
Hetnar
Wrong
gap of 58 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1451 vs Kaczmarek 1375
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 60% vs Kaczmarek 80%
Kaczmarek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 70% vs Kaczmarek 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar -1 · Kaczmarek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.25 / Kaczmarek 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13152787
Hetnar1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 271 of 395
Up 2–0, closes it98% 149 of 152
Up 1–0, closes it85% 221 of 259
Kaczmarek3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 160 of 487
Down 0–1, comes back17% 54 of 312
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar9wins
AwayKaczmarek1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar100%7 of 7
AwayKaczmarek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar7Kaczmarek3n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S2Hetnar7Kaczmarek3n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S3Hetnar5Kaczmarek5n = 10split evenly
S4Hetnar5Kaczmarek1n = 6Hetnar took 5 of 6
S5Hetnar4Kaczmarek0n = 4Hetnar took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarKaczmarekH − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.932.6+9.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime720 / 1175 vs 485 / 131461.3%36.9%720 / 1175 vs 485 / 1314Avg sets wonper match2.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.25/Kaczmarek 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.3%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 04:25K. Hetnar4291111113J. Kaczmarek27116821
WSep 7 · 11:50K. Hetnar331111113J. Kaczmarek188550
LSep 3 · 18:45K. Hetnar34811961J. Kaczmarek4011711113
WAug 24 · 11:00K. Hetnar331111113J. Kaczmarek207760
WAug 24 · 04:55K. Hetnar331111113J. Kaczmarek204790
WAug 11 · 05:10K. Hetnar401811113J. Kaczmarek2316250
WAug 7 · 13:05K. Hetnar45119311113J. Kaczmarek4351111792
WAug 7 · 06:55K. Hetnar48812611113J. Kaczmarek44111011392
WAug 4 · 08:20K. Hetnar511110811113J. Kaczmarek3841211652
WJul 29 · 13:10K. Hetnar601191514113J. Kaczmarek53611171272
K. Hetnar10
LSep 18 · 17:20K. Hetnar1.5091090M. Baron2.501112113WSep 18 · 16:15L. Oracz2.006970K. Hetnar1.731111113LSep 18 · 13:55K. Hetnar1.83111111652L. Oracz1.83813911113WSep 18 · 12:40K. Hetnar1.44111211113W. Urban2.631310881LSep 18 · 11:25K. Hetnar1.836790S. Szostok1.831111113WSep 18 · 10:10J. Pelka2.63111181162K. Hetnar1.44813119113WSep 18 · 09:25K. Hetnar1.4071111113O. Vincenec2.75116421WSep 16 · 17:05M. Rus4.50116981K. Hetnar1.1471111113WSep 16 · 15:55K. Hetnar1.3311411113M. Sikon2.85811561LSep 16 · 14:45P. Kurek2.321111113K. Hetnar1.496780
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 18 · 16:55I. Szymanski4.009980J. Kaczmarek1.221111113WSep 18 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek3.301114113P. Polok1.2791290LSep 18 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.9010890M. Lebek1.271211113WSep 18 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek2.351181110123M. Adamus1.52511812102WSep 18 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.5511118113P. Kurek1.45331171WSep 18 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.3291111153Y. Fomin1.491197131WSep 16 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.769590J. Kaczmarek1.901111113WSep 16 · 19:35M. Adamus1.53811891J. Kaczmarek2.2311811113LSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272WSep 16 · 16:50S. Krupa1.498111371J. Kaczmarek2.3211915113
Upcoming Matches
K. Hetnar
J. Kaczmarek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.