TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142077
Played Sep 17Finished
Roman Gnoevoy
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711811––––
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Derevynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Gnoevoy above · Dmytro Derevynskyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Dmytro Derevynskyi at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Roman Gnoevoy 66–74 Dmytro Derevynskyi Roman Gnoevoy has won 66 of their 140 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Derevynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-74 in 140
Derevynskyi
Correct
gap of 8 in 140, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gnoevoy 1506 vs Derevynskyi 1566
Derevynskyi
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gnoevoy 60% vs Derevynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gnoevoy 60% vs Derevynskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gnoevoy -1 · Derevynskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Derevynskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGnoevoy 2.00 / Derevynskyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Derevynskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13142077
Gnoevoy2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 89 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back24% 23 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Derevynskyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 193 of 330
Up 2–0, closes it91% 89 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it71% 138 of 194
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGnoevoy4wins
AwayDerevynskyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDerevynskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGnoevoy80%4 of 5
AwayDerevynskyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gnoevoy5Derevynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Gnoevoy3Derevynskyi7n = 10Derevynskyi took 7 of 10
S3Gnoevoy3Derevynskyi7n = 10Derevynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Gnoevoy3Derevynskyi2n = 5Gnoevoy took 3 of 5
S5Gnoevoy2Derevynskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGnoevoyDerevynskyiG − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.638.0−2.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGnoevoyDerevynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 811 vs 480 / 88049.7%54.6%403 / 811 vs 480 / 880Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DerevynskyiGnoevoy 2.00/Derevynskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Derevynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Derevynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 22:55R. Gnoevoy205780D. Derevynskyi331111113
WSep 15 · 01:25R. Gnoevoy52118118143D. Derevynskyi51911811122
LSep 10 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy49910131162D. Derevynskyi501112115113
WSep 8 · 18:55R. Gnoevoy331111113D. Derevynskyi258980
LSep 8 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy229760D. Derevynskyi331111113
LSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy4711891182D. Derevynskyi41511113113
WSep 1 · 02:55R. Gnoevoy5411111110113D. Derevynskyi4786131282
LAug 30 · 21:25R. Gnoevoy207490D. Derevynskyi331111113
WAug 13 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy3911116113D. Derevynskyi34681191
LAug 4 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy205870D. Derevynskyi331111113
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 17 · 21:25R. Gnoevoy2.10119121172S. Abalmaz1.67911145113WSep 16 · 04:05O. Naida2.10611771R. Gnoevoy1.6711911113WSep 16 · 02:35R. Gnoevoy2.001111113V. Khamurda1.736690LSep 16 · 24:35S. Abalmaz1.671111113R. Gnoevoy2.108990WSep 15 · 22:35T. Ponomarenko2.00531181R. Gnoevoy1.7311116113LSep 15 · 21:35S. Skachenko1.83111111113R. Gnoevoy1.83613271LSep 15 · 03:55O. Naida1.831112113R. Gnoevoy1.8361060WSep 15 · 02:55S. Abalmaz1.73711881R. Gnoevoy2.0011911113WSep 15 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi1.80911811122R. Gnoevoy1.91118118143WSep 14 · 23:25S. Skachenko1.83119116102R. Gnoevoy1.83511811123
D. Derevynskyi10
LSep 17 · 21:55V. Khamurda1.9181112113D. Derevynskyi1.801141081WSep 15 · 19:25D. Derevynskyi1.57961111123V. Kobets2.25111136102LSep 15 · 17:55D. Derevynskyi1.4481370Y. Sokoltsov2.631115113WSep 15 · 16:25D. Derevynskyi1.571111113O. Melashenko2.256760WSep 15 · 14:55D. Derevynskyi1.57117911113S. Khandetskyi2.2561111482WSep 15 · 13:25D. Derevynskyi1.531111113D. Rehotun2.387760LSep 15 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808890LSep 15 · 02:25D. Derevynskyi1.73117116102S. Skachenko2.00611311123LSep 15 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi1.80911811122R. Gnoevoy1.91118118143WSep 14 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.731111123O. Naida2.0068100
Upcoming Matches
R. Gnoevoy
D. Derevynskyi
Sep 18 · 24:55D. Derevynskyi1.61K. Hrynenko2.20—Sep 18 · 02:55D. Derevynskyi1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 18 · 04:25D. Derevynskyi1.73O. Naida2.00—Sep 18 · 21:05D. Derevynskyi1.44Y. Krol2.63—Sep 18 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi2.63V. Lobas1.44—Sep 19 · 01:05D. Derevynskyi1.61K. Hrynenko2.20—Sep 19 · 02:35D. Derevynskyi1.50M. Marchuk2.50—Sep 19 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi2.63O. Gomilko1.44—
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