TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139957
Played Sep 17Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
141211861110121012
Wiktor Ptak
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:07 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeWiktor Ptak to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Wiktor Ptak below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 106 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Wiktor Ptak at 69.1%
106 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–2 Wiktor Ptak Igor Szymanski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Ptak beat Szymanski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Ptak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1161 vs Ptak 1305
Ptak
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 60% vs Ptak 80%
Ptak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 30% vs Ptak 50%
Ptak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski +2 · Ptak +3
Ptak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Ptak) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 3.00 / Ptak 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Ptak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13139957
Szymanski3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 78 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back10% 26 of 253
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 182
Ptak1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 56 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it83% 47 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayPtak2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPtak leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski33.3%1 of 3
AwayPtakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski3Ptak0n = 3Szymanski took 3 of 3
S2Szymanski1Ptak2n = 3Ptak took 2 of 3
S3Szymanski1Ptak2n = 3Ptak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSzymanskiPtakS − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match36.736.70.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiPtakBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 408 vs 80 / 14223%56.3%94 / 408 vs 80 / 142Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PtakSzymanski 3.00/Ptak 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Ptak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ptak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 17 · 08:35I. Szymanski341171241W. Ptak4371114113
WJul 22 · 13:05I. Szymanski341112113W. Ptak2061040
LJul 22 · 06:55I. Szymanski4211781152W. Ptak47911115113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 17 · 13:55P. Kurek1.1711811113I. Szymanski4.50811621LSep 17 · 13:05L. Oracz1.171311113I. Szymanski4.5011870WSep 17 · 10:35I. Szymanski5.00611115133P. Gumulinski1.14118911112WSep 17 · 09:50K. Kowalski3.25116321I. Szymanski1.3391111113LSep 17 · 08:35I. Szymanski2.751171241W. Ptak1.4071114113LSep 17 · 06:55I. Szymanski5.00361171L. Oracz1.1411113113WSep 17 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.281111113K. Kowalski3.505780LSep 17 · 04:10I. Szymanski4.004730P. Kurek1.221111113LSep 17 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.507770P. Gumulinski1.171111113LSep 16 · 13:55R. Gajda1.20111111113I. Szymanski4.33461351
W. Ptak10
LSep 17 · 13:30W. Ptak2.20114100P. Gumulinski1.611311123WSep 17 · 11:00K. Kowalski3.251113111152W. Ptak1.33715139113WSep 17 · 09:25P. Kurek1.53811951W. Ptak2.3811711113WSep 17 · 08:35I. Szymanski2.751171241W. Ptak1.4071114113LSep 17 · 07:20W. Ptak2.101199111P. Gumulinski1.6761111133WSep 17 · 06:05L. Oracz1.83117119102W. Ptak1.83911911123LSep 17 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.7511611113W. Ptak1.25511781LSep 17 · 03:25P. Kurek1.5712117113W. Ptak2.251051181LSep 2 · 14:20W. Ptak1.61781191O. Vincenec2.2011119113LSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
Nothing scheduled
W. Ptak
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