TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139947
Played Sep 17Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311611113711––
Lukasz Oracz
Away
1.14
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:06 and never touched — 86.8% is still 86.8%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
86.8%
86.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 63 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Lukasz Oracz at 86.8%
63 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 3–10 Lukasz Oracz Igor Szymanski has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Oracz
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1139 vs Oracz 1328
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Oracz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 20% vs Oracz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski +1 · Oracz -4
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 87% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (20%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 5.00 / Oracz 1.14
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Oracz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13139947
Szymanski5.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 78 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back10% 26 of 253
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 182
Oracz1.14
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 372 of 584
Up 2–0, closes it97% 203 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it82% 291 of 354
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymanski3wins
AwayOracz7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOracz87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski2Oracz8n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S2Szymanski3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Szymanski4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S4Szymanski1Oracz3n = 4Oracz took 3 of 4
S5Szymanski2Oracz1n = 3Szymanski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymanskiOraczS − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.636.4−6.8per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 405 vs 833 / 151122.7%55.1%92 / 405 vs 833 / 1511Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczSzymanski 5.00/Oracz 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.8%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:55I. Szymanski27361171L. Oracz3611113113
WAug 29 · 01:25I. Szymanski331111113L. Oracz227780
LAug 28 · 19:20I. Szymanski24410100L. Oracz351112123
LAug 17 · 04:20I. Szymanski1911530L. Oracz351311113
WAug 16 · 18:45I. Szymanski44311711123L. Oracz48119117102
LAug 16 · 04:20I. Szymanski155550L. Oracz331111113
WAug 15 · 18:45I. Szymanski531181112113L. Oracz4141151472
LJul 17 · 12:15I. Szymanski187560L. Oracz331111113
LJul 17 · 08:35I. Szymanski2011540L. Oracz351311113
LJul 2 · 10:35I. Szymanski4351111792L. Oracz46115811113
I. Szymanski10
WSep 17 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.281111113K. Kowalski3.505780LSep 17 · 04:10I. Szymanski4.004730P. Kurek1.221111113LSep 17 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.507770P. Gumulinski1.171111113LSep 16 · 13:55R. Gajda1.20111111113I. Szymanski4.33461351LSep 16 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.28891114113I. Szymanski3.50111141292LSep 16 · 12:15I. Szymanski3.50111231162W. Urban1.28814119113LSep 16 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.505119111P. Gumulinski1.1711311133LSep 16 · 09:50K. Adamus1.221111113I. Szymanski4.006790WSep 16 · 08:35I. Szymanski3.751191511113W. Urban1.2591117892LSep 16 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.50711751P. Przewlocki1.2811811113
L. Oracz10
WSep 17 · 07:45P. Kurek2.1011711482L. Oracz1.67611911113LSep 17 · 06:05L. Oracz1.83117119102W. Ptak1.83911911123LSep 17 · 04:30L. Oracz1.91116771P. Gumulinski1.8071111113LSep 17 · 03:50K. Kowalski4.0011413113L. Oracz1.229111191LSep 15 · 17:05L. Oracz2.205740M. Durda1.601111113WSep 15 · 15:30L. Oracz1.751114183R. Gajda1.90712160LSep 15 · 14:20L. Oracz1.8612780R. Skotniczny1.831411113WSep 15 · 12:45L. Oracz1.551111510113M. Adamus2.3079111252LSep 15 · 11:30L. Oracz1.85118101272K. Jablonski1.809111210113LSep 15 · 10:20M. Adamus2.2011118113L. Oracz1.60971191
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