TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139907
Played Sep 17Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1177111214411––
Wiktor Ptak
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeWiktor Ptak to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Wiktor Ptak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 77 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Wiktor Ptak at 69.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–1 Wiktor Ptak Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:58What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Ptak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1139 vs Ptak 1302
Ptak
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Ptak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 20% vs Ptak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -1 · Ptak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Ptak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ptak form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 2.75 / Ptak 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Ptak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13139907
Szymanski2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 78 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back10% 26 of 253
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 182
Ptak1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 56 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it83% 47 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayPtak1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSzymanskiPtakS − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.033.5+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiPtakBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 405 vs 77 / 13922.7%55.4%92 / 405 vs 77 / 139Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PtakSzymanski 2.75/Ptak 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Ptak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ptak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 22 · 13:05I. Szymanski341112113W. Ptak2061040
LJul 22 · 06:55I. Szymanski4211781152W. Ptak47911115113
I. Szymanski10
WSep 17 · 09:50K. Kowalski3.25116321I. Szymanski1.3391111113LSep 17 · 06:55I. Szymanski5.00361171L. Oracz1.1411113113WSep 17 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.281111113K. Kowalski3.505780LSep 17 · 04:10I. Szymanski4.004730P. Kurek1.221111113LSep 17 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.507770P. Gumulinski1.171111113LSep 16 · 13:55R. Gajda1.20111111113I. Szymanski4.33461351LSep 16 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.28891114113I. Szymanski3.50111141292LSep 16 · 12:15I. Szymanski3.50111231162W. Urban1.28814119113LSep 16 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.505119111P. Gumulinski1.1711311133LSep 16 · 09:50K. Adamus1.221111113I. Szymanski4.006790
W. Ptak10
WSep 17 · 09:25P. Kurek1.53811951W. Ptak2.3811711113LSep 17 · 07:20W. Ptak2.101199111P. Gumulinski1.6761111133WSep 17 · 06:05L. Oracz1.83117119102W. Ptak1.83911911123LSep 17 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.7511611113W. Ptak1.25511781LSep 17 · 03:25P. Kurek1.5712117113W. Ptak2.251051181LSep 2 · 14:20W. Ptak1.61781191O. Vincenec2.2011119113LSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470WSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 11:00W. Ptak2.108490K. Adamus1.671111113WSep 2 · 09:50W. Ptak1.5011127113J. Kaczmarek2.508101161
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