TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13137115
Played Sep 16Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117811411119811
Ulana Dronova
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 79.9% is still 79.9%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
79.9%
79.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Ulana Dronova below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 79.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Iolanta Yevtodii 26–7 Ulana Dronova Ulana Dronova has won 7 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Yevtodii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-7 in 33
Yevtodii
Wrong
gap of 19 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yevtodii 1910 vs Dronova 1573
Yevtodii
Wrong
both rated, 337 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 60% vs Dronova 80%
Dronova
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 60% vs Dronova 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii +2 · Dronova +3
Dronova
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Yevtodii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dronova form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 1.20 / Dronova 4.33
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Yevtodii)+1.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13137115
Yevtodii1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 67 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it84% 43 of 51
Dronova4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog14% won 2 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYevtodii7wins
AwayDronova3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYevtodii leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYevtodii100%4 of 4
AwayDronova50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yevtodii4Dronova6n = 10Dronova took 6 of 10
S2Yevtodii8Dronova2n = 10Yevtodii took 8 of 10
S3Yevtodii6Dronova4n = 10Yevtodii took 6 of 10
S4Yevtodii5Dronova2n = 7Yevtodii took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYevtodiiDronovaY − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.631.8+6.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiDronovaBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 146 vs 43 / 9672.6%44.8%106 / 146 vs 43 / 96Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiYevtodii 1.20/Dronova 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.9%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dronova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 07:00I. Yevtodii47611118113U. Dronova3811731162
WAug 12 · 05:30I. Yevtodii3741111113U. Dronova28116561
WApr 7 · 06:30I. Yevtodii3961111113U. Dronova31119561
WApr 6 · 17:40I. Yevtodii331111113U. Dronova138320
WFeb 26 · 06:05I. Yevtodii44111111113U. Dronova38971391
LFeb 25 · 18:40I. Yevtodii531111111192U. Dronova50131386103
LFeb 11 · 11:05I. Yevtodii2138100U. Dronova341111123
WJan 11 · 06:05I. Yevtodii331111113U. Dronova153840
WJan 10 · 12:40I. Yevtodii4311138113U. Dronova332111191
LSep 6 · 11:40I. Yevtodii36811981U. Dronova3811511113
I. Yevtodii10
WSep 10 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.22101111113R. Budnyk4.00126681WSep 10 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.75711931I. Yevtodii1.4011911113LSep 10 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.251111461A. Rzhevska3.7591311113WSep 10 · 07:00P. Pashchenko6.50911741I. Yevtodii1.1011911113LSep 10 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.838950A. Ovriakh1.831111113LSep 9 · 11:30I. Yevtodii1.177650A. Rzhevska4.501111113LSep 9 · 09:30R. Budnyk4.331111113I. Yevtodii1.208890WSep 9 · 07:30P. Pashchenko4.3310890I. Yevtodii1.201211113WSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii1.831181211123A. Ovriakh1.83411147102WSep 9 · 05:30N. Plokhotniuk2.6376110I. Yevtodii1.441111133
U. Dronova10
LSep 16 · 06:30U. Dronova3.001061181A. Ovriakh1.3612114113WSep 14 · 11:30U. Dronova1.441111113S. Yureneva2.639650WSep 14 · 09:30V. Kurtenko2.2511119132U. Dronova1.57291111113WSep 14 · 07:30P. Pashchenko1.674850U. Dronova2.101111113LSep 14 · 06:30U. Dronova2.50111081172A. Rzhevska1.50412118113WSep 14 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.2511112111U. Dronova1.3313811133WSep 13 · 16:40S. Yureneva3.00912971U. Dronova1.36111011113LSep 13 · 15:40U. Dronova1.834460A. Kurtenko1.83111162LSep 13 · 14:40U. Dronova1.91513971P. Pashchenko1.80111111113LSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113
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