TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119088
Played Sep 12Finished
Marcin Stepien
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117112116––––
Pawel Gola
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
117112116––––
H2H Marcin Stepien 111–47 Pawel Gola Pawel Gola has won 47 of their 158 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Stepien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepien form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStepien 1.44 / Gola 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Stepien)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13119088
Stepien1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 193 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it94% 135 of 144
Up 1–0, closes it80% 158 of 197
Gola2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 77 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStepien8wins
AwayGola2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStepien leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStepien85.7%6 of 7
AwayGola33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stepien7Gola3n = 10Stepien took 7 of 10
S2Stepien9Gola1n = 10Stepien took 9 of 10
S3Stepien8Gola2n = 10Stepien took 8 of 10
S4Stepien3Gola2n = 5Stepien took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStepienGolaS − GBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.528.9+8.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStepienGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime645 / 1170 vs 581 / 118655.1%49%645 / 1170 vs 581 / 1186Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienStepien 1.44/Gola 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stepien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 10:30M. Stepien—1111113P. Gola—7640
WSep 1 · 09:00M. Stepien—13114113P. Gola—1191171
WAug 31 · 11:00M. Stepien—1111113P. Gola—7460
WAug 24 · 11:30M. Stepien—1113113P. Gola—41150
LAug 23 · 23:05M. Stepien—981281P. Gola—111110113
WAug 23 · 21:35M. Stepien—81111113P. Gola—117651
WAug 21 · 09:00M. Stepien—1111113P. Gola—7590
WAug 17 · 10:00M. Stepien—1111113P. Gola—9660
LAug 16 · 18:35M. Stepien—111198112P. Gola—791111133
WAug 14 · 07:30M. Stepien—81111113P. Gola—119661
M. Stepien10
LSep 12 · 06:00S. Radlo2.2511116113M. Stepien1.54981191WSep 10 · 12:40S. Radlo2.308640M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 10 · 11:30M. Galus1.66811471M. Stepien2.0511911113LSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 09:00S. Wloszek2.551381112123M. Stepien1.411111814102LSep 10 · 06:10D. Skvarskyi1.471111113M. Stepien2.509480LSep 10 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.461091311113M. Stepien2.42121111632LSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123LSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113WSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka2.2511891192M. Stepien1.57511115113
P. Gola10
LSep 12 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi1.361411113P. Gola2.9512690WSep 11 · 12:30M. Lysakowski—1161281P. Gola—81114113LSep 11 · 12:00D. Stapor1.711111113P. Gola2.008680WSep 11 · 10:30P. Gola2.10121310113M. Galus1.6010111291LSep 11 · 08:30M. Ovcharenko1.341111113P. Gola3.009630LSep 11 · 06:30M. Lysakowski1.781111163P. Gola1.9179140LSep 11 · 05:30B. Molka2.411111113P. Gola1.467890WSep 9 · 12:40P. Gola1.381111113S. Wloszek2.806660WSep 9 · 11:00P. Gola1.8311913123M. Lysakowski1.8781111101WSep 9 · 09:30P. Gola1.561012118113M. Burkacki2.18121091152
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