TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114337
Played Sep 11Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.71
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116118––––
Pawel Gola
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:27 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
118116118––––
H2H Dawid Stapor 75–44 Pawel Gola Pawel Gola has won 44 of their 119 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-44 in 119
Stapor
Correct
gap of 31 in 119, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1569 vs Gola 1577
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Gola 40%
Stapor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Gola 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +2 · Gola +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.71 / Gola 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Stapor)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13114337
Stapor1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 180 of 297
Up 2–0, closes it99% 91 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it87% 135 of 156
Gola2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 77 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor4wins
AwayGola6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGola leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor75%3 of 4
AwayGola83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S2Stapor3Gola7n = 10Gola took 7 of 10
S3Stapor5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S4Stapor1Gola4n = 5Gola took 4 of 5
S5Stapor2Gola1n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporGolaS − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.737.9−3.2per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 913 vs 582 / 118552.9%49.1%483 / 913 vs 582 / 1185Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.71/Gola 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 08:00D. Stapor—91113113P. Gola—1161181
LSep 2 · 10:00D. Stapor—51260P. Gola—1114113
WSep 1 · 11:00D. Stapor—1291110113P. Gola—101141282
LAug 28 · 13:40D. Stapor—9560P. Gola—1111113
LAug 28 · 07:00D. Stapor—4840P. Gola—1111113
WAug 23 · 17:05D. Stapor—1111113P. Gola—4880
LAug 21 · 11:00D. Stapor—141111782P. Gola—1213811113
LAug 19 · 13:00D. Stapor—811991P. Gola—11911113
WAug 19 · 06:30D. Stapor—1261110113P. Gola—101171262
LJul 31 · 06:00D. Stapor—8570P. Gola—1111113
D. Stapor10
LSep 11 · 13:30D. Stapor2.559840M. Ovcharenko1.411111113WSep 11 · 10:00B. Molka2.107911111D. Stapor1.6011117133WSep 11 · 08:00M. Lysakowski1.73871591D. Stapor1.98111113113LSep 11 · 07:00D. Stapor1.95114141142M. Galus1.74911169113WSep 11 · 06:00M. Ovcharenko1.36111270D. Stapor2.751314113LSep 9 · 13:10M. Lysakowski1.5813116133D. Stapor2.1411611111LSep 9 · 12:00D. Stapor2.1811781292D. Skvarskyi1.568111110113LSep 9 · 10:00M. Lysakowski1.58111111113D. Stapor2.20981361WSep 9 · 08:00P. Gola2.001161181D. Stapor1.7291113113WSep 9 · 07:00D. Stapor1.7211811113S. Wloszek2.00611951
P. Gola10
WSep 11 · 12:30M. Lysakowski—1161281P. Gola—81114113WSep 11 · 10:30P. Gola2.10121310113M. Galus1.6010111291LSep 11 · 08:30M. Ovcharenko1.341111113P. Gola3.009630LSep 11 · 06:30M. Lysakowski1.781111163P. Gola1.9179140LSep 11 · 05:30B. Molka2.411111113P. Gola1.467890WSep 9 · 12:40P. Gola1.381111113S. Wloszek2.806660WSep 9 · 11:00P. Gola1.8311913123M. Lysakowski1.8781111101WSep 9 · 09:30P. Gola1.561012118113M. Burkacki2.18121091152LSep 9 · 08:00P. Gola2.001161181D. Stapor1.7291113113LSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123
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