TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114031
Played Sep 11Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911119117––
Mateusz Galus
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
119911119117––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 37–42 Mateusz Galus Bartlomiej Molka has won 37 of their 79 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Galus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Galus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.20 / Galus 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Galus)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13114031
Molka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 180 of 404
Down 0–1, comes back21% 47 of 225
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 129
Galus1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 141 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it97% 68 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it78% 100 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka5wins
AwayGalus5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka75%3 of 4
AwayGalus66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka4Galus6n = 10Galus took 6 of 10
S2Molka6Galus4n = 10Molka took 6 of 10
S3Molka5Galus5n = 10split evenly
S4Molka2Galus6n = 8Galus took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaGalusM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.139.9−3.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 1163 vs 352 / 66145.8%53.3%533 / 1163 vs 352 / 661Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GalusMolka 2.20/Galus 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.3%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 12:00B. Molka—6540M. Galus—1111113
WAug 30 · 22:45B. Molka—131158123M. Galus—1161111102
WAug 30 · 18:35B. Molka—411126113M. Galus—117101192
WAug 26 · 10:30B. Molka—91312113M. Galus—11111071
LAug 20 · 10:30B. Molka—11111161M. Galus—13613113
WAug 19 · 13:30B. Molka—11611123M. Galus—8117101
LAug 19 · 11:30B. Molka—116391M. Galus—61111113
LAug 3 · 09:00B. Molka—411971M. Galus—11811113
LAug 2 · 21:35B. Molka—781141M. Galus—11117113
WJul 29 · 12:40B. Molka—1315113M. Galus—111370
B. Molka10
LSep 11 · 07:30B. Molka2.6541111692M. Ovcharenko1.43117811113WSep 11 · 05:30B. Molka2.411111113P. Gola1.467890LSep 8 · 12:40B. Molka—8870S. Wloszek—1111113LSep 8 · 12:00B. Molka1.75137121082S. Radlo1.9511111012113LSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182WSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor1.83531191B. Molka1.8611112113WSep 8 · 07:00B. Molka1.57101111113S. Wloszek2.15128971LSep 8 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.5011119113B. Molka1.47851181WSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123WSep 7 · 11:00S. Radlo1.909490B. Molka1.801111113
M. Galus10
WSep 11 · 07:00D. Stapor1.95114141142M. Galus1.74911169113WSep 11 · 05:00M. Lysakowski1.668590M. Galus2.021111113WSep 10 · 13:10S. Wloszek2.8071170M. Galus1.391113113LSep 10 · 11:30M. Galus1.66811471M. Stepien2.0511911113WSep 10 · 09:30M. Ovcharenko1.4981090M. Galus2.341112113WSep 10 · 08:30M. Galus1.7414912113S. Radlo1.9512111041LSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122LSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WAug 31 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.7211111081M. Galus1.9361312113WAug 31 · 12:00B. Molka2.316540M. Galus1.501111113
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