TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105498
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
2.23
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118511911115711
Kamil Kos
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Kos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
118511911115711
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 18–20 Kamil Kos Jakub Komorowicz has won 18 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (59%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-20 in 38
Kos
Correct
gap of 2 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1347 vs Kos 1418
Kos
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 40% vs Kos 80%
Kos
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 50% vs Kos 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -1 · Kos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 2.23 / Kos 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Kos)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13105498
Komorowicz2.23
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 87 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Kos1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 49 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it66% 44 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz3wins
AwayKos7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKos leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz100%3 of 3
AwayKos100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz3Kos7n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S2Komorowicz2Kos8n = 10Kos took 8 of 10
S3Komorowicz3Kos7n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S4Komorowicz4Kos1n = 5Komorowicz took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczKosKomorowicz − KosBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.337.3−6.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczKosBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 493 vs 148 / 30145.4%49.2%224 / 493 vs 148 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKomorowicz 2.23/Kos 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—65130K. Kos—1111153
WSep 8 · 14:00J. Komorowicz—11711113K. Kos—611681
LSep 1 · 19:00J. Komorowicz—85100K. Kos—1111123
LAug 25 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—71141182K. Kos—118118113
LAug 25 · 21:00J. Komorowicz—8680K. Kos—1111113
LAug 24 · 14:30J. Komorowicz—7770K. Kos—1111113
WAug 22 · 12:35J. Komorowicz—11126113K. Kos—9101131
LAug 18 · 19:30J. Komorowicz—1241491K. Kos—141112113
WAug 17 · 21:40J. Komorowicz—11711123K. Kos—7119101
LAug 17 · 20:30J. Komorowicz—44140K. Kos—1111163
J. Komorowicz10
LSep 9 · 18:00J. Komorowicz1.74811111382M. Szostak1.951191311113WSep 9 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.66118117113P. Kedzierski2.0591191182WSep 9 · 14:00J. Komorowicz2.90111111133K. Patryk1.328713111LSep 8 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—65130K. Kos—1111153LSep 8 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.4011911113J. Komorowicz2.60811751WSep 8 · 19:30K. Patryk1.301211991J. Komorowicz3.1014611113LSep 8 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.32111110113J. Komorowicz1.49991271LSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572WSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113
K. Kos10
LSep 9 · 18:30K. Kos1.3611681152P. Kedzierski2.75911119113WSep 9 · 17:30K. Kos1.871112123K. Patryk1.83710100WSep 9 · 16:30K. Kos1.6516611113M. Szostak2.101411851WSep 8 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—65130K. Kos—1111153WSep 8 · 20:00K. Kos1.3211911113P. Kedzierski2.90911881WSep 8 · 18:30K. Kos1.911111914113W. Arkadiusz1.7498111682LSep 8 · 17:00K. Kos1.7311911772J. Caban1.98711811113LSep 8 · 15:00K. Kos1.9861111472K. Patryk1.73116911113LSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113LSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113
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