TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081418
Played Sep 5Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71113111412411115
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
71113111412411115
H2H Karol Guzy 20–19 Mateusz Szymanski Mateusz Szymanski has won 19 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (52%)
Szymanski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-19 in 39
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1661 vs Szymanski 1627
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 60% vs Szymanski 100%
Szymanski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 60% vs Szymanski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy -1 · Szymanski +5
Szymanski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szymanski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.91 / Szymanski 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szymanski)+1.5pp
TT Cup · #13081418
Guzy1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 62 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back35% 19 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back20% 6 of 30
Szymanski1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 28 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy6wins
AwaySzymanski4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy85.7%6 of 7
AwaySzymanski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy7Szymanski3n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S2Guzy7Szymanski3n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S3Guzy2Szymanski8n = 10Szymanski took 8 of 10
S4Guzy3Szymanski7n = 10Szymanski took 7 of 10
S5Guzy5Szymanski2n = 7Guzy took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzySzymanskiG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.944.4−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzySzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime629 / 1052 vs 134 / 24559.8%54.7%629 / 1052 vs 134 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiGuzy 1.91/Szymanski 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 22:40K. Guzy—119911M. Szymanski—81111113
WSep 4 · 15:30K. Guzy—11138113M. Szymanski—9111171
WAug 29 · 20:35K. Guzy—1110137113M. Szymanski—812111162
LAug 28 · 21:00K. Guzy—101181152M. Szymanski—127116113
WAug 1 · 11:05K. Guzy—111173123M. Szymanski—751111102
LJul 31 · 14:30K. Guzy—511761M. Szymanski—11611113
WJul 18 · 21:05K. Guzy—1111114113M. Szymanski—51381192
WJul 17 · 15:30K. Guzy—121198133M. Szymanski—1091111112
WJun 21 · 09:35K. Guzy—111197113M. Szymanski—74111172
LJun 20 · 15:05K. Guzy—41171132M. Szymanski—119117113
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
M. Szymanski10
WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151
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