TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080632
Played Sep 5Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171151315117––
Jan Masternak
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Molka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1171151315117––
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 94–93 Jan Masternak Jan Masternak has won 93 of their 187 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Molka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
94-93 in 187
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1640 vs Masternak 1486
Molka
Correct
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 40% vs Masternak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 40% vs Masternak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka -2 · Masternak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masternak form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 1.80 / Masternak 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Molka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13080632
Molka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 60 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52
Masternak1.86
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 120 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka7wins
AwayMasternak3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMolka leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka100%5 of 5
AwayMasternak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka5Masternak5n = 10split evenly
S2Molka7Masternak3n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S3Molka5Masternak5n = 10split evenly
S4Molka3Masternak0n = 3Molka took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaMasternakMolka − MasternakBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.130.5+3.6per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaMasternakBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1165 vs 433 / 99445.7%43.6%532 / 1165 vs 433 / 994Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolkaMolka 1.80/Masternak 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Molka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 16:35B. Molka—91111113J. Masternak—116451
WSep 5 · 07:05B. Molka—111113113J. Masternak—751571
WSep 2 · 05:00B. Molka—1211113J. Masternak—10760
LAug 30 · 20:35B. Molka—56120J. Masternak—1111143
WAug 24 · 12:00B. Molka—1111113J. Masternak—6590
WAug 23 · 16:05B. Molka—1111113J. Masternak—9980
LAug 21 · 08:30B. Molka—61070J. Masternak—1112113
WAug 20 · 13:00B. Molka—1011712113J. Masternak—127111062
WAug 20 · 05:00B. Molka—1112113J. Masternak—81090
LAug 16 · 18:05B. Molka—9940J. Masternak—1111113
B. Molka10
WSep 7 · 05:30B. Molka2.10111011113D. Skvarskyi1.65312461WSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 22:05S. Wloszek2.074101251B. Molka1.62111210113LSep 6 · 20:35B. Molka2.529540M. Ovcharenko1.401111113WSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor1.6951050B. Molka1.971112113WSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113WSep 6 · 15:35M. Stepien1.415121261B. Molka2.55111014113LSep 5 · 14:45B. Molka1.82911991S. Radlo1.8211911113WSep 5 · 12:35B. Molka2.0011147113D. Stapor1.729121171WSep 5 · 10:35D. Skvarskyi1.42711871B. Molka2.5011611113
J. Masternak10
LSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113LSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113LSep 6 · 15:05J. Masternak2.805840M. Ovcharenko1.351111113LSep 5 · 14:15D. Skvarskyi1.5711915113J. Masternak2.288111361WSep 5 · 13:05J. Masternak1.90115911163S. Wloszek1.76811118142LSep 5 · 11:05S. Radlo1.601214113J. Masternak2.10101290LSep 5 · 09:05D. Skvarskyi1.41971111133J. Masternak2.70111168112
Upcoming Matches
B. Molka
J. Masternak
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