TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076656
Played Sep 5Finished
Karel Schopf
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210117911114––
Jakub Tazler
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Schopf to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Schopf above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 75 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Karel Schopf at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Karel Schopf 5–6 Jakub Tazler Karel Schopf has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:28What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tazler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schopf 1567 vs Tazler 1671
Tazler
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schopf 20% vs Tazler 40%
Tazler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schopf 30% vs Tazler 50%
Tazler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schopf -4 · Tazler +1
Schopf
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Tazler) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchopf 2.50 / Tazler 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Tazler)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076656
Schopf2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Tazler1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 93 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 72 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchopf4wins
AwayTazler6wins
Tazler leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchopf80%4 of 5
AwayTazler100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schopf5Tazler5n = 10split evenly
S2Schopf2Tazler8n = 10Tazler took 8 of 10
S3Schopf3Tazler7n = 10Tazler took 7 of 10
S4Schopf4Tazler2n = 6Schopf took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchopfTazlerS − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.636.4−4.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchopfTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 447 vs 384 / 70250.3%54.7%225 / 447 vs 384 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TazlerSchopf 2.50/Tazler 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Tazler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Schopf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 02:00K. Schopf—116751J. Tazler—91111113
LAug 3 · 13:30K. Schopf—1016481J. Tazler—121411113
WAug 3 · 10:30K. Schopf—11711113J. Tazler—811771
LAug 3 · 09:00K. Schopf—8980J. Tazler—1111113
LAug 3 · 07:00K. Schopf—7680J. Tazler—1111113
LJun 24 · 03:30K. Schopf—71280J. Tazler—1114113
WJun 24 · 02:00K. Schopf—11412113J. Tazler—8111081
LJun 23 · 19:00K. Schopf—7830J. Tazler—1111113
WJun 17 · 17:30K. Schopf—11511113J. Tazler—711881
WJun 17 · 15:00K. Schopf—11119113J. Tazler—791181
K. Schopf10
LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660LSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142WSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100LSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113
J. Tazler10
LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142LSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870WSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100
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