TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13014153
Played Aug 26Finished
Mariusz Koczyba
Home
1.56
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117115911811114
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
2.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
117115911811114
H2H Mariusz Koczyba 43–27 Krzysztof Juszczyk Krzysztof Juszczyk has won 27 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:58What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (59%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-27 in 70
Koczyba
Correct
gap of 16 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koczyba 1404 vs Juszczyk 1461
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koczyba 60% vs Juszczyk 80%
Juszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koczyba 50% vs Juszczyk 70%
Juszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koczyba +2 · Juszczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Koczyba) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoczyba 1.56 / Juszczyk 2.22
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Koczyba)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13014153
Koczyba1.56
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 361 of 534
Up 2–0, closes it95% 191 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it83% 261 of 316
Juszczyk2.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 90 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoczyba4wins
AwayJuszczyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoczyba50%3 of 6
AwayJuszczyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koczyba6Juszczyk4n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S2Koczyba6Juszczyk4n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S3Koczyba4Juszczyk6n = 10Juszczyk took 6 of 10
S4Koczyba4Juszczyk3n = 7Koczyba took 4 of 7
S5Koczyba0Juszczyk3n = 3Juszczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoczybaJuszczykK − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.036.8+1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoczybaJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime871 / 1313 vs 622 / 117066.3%53.2%871 / 1313 vs 622 / 1170Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaKoczyba 1.56/Juszczyk 2.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.1%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 17:35M. Koczyba—10950K. Juszczyk—1211113
LAug 19 · 17:35M. Koczyba—51211932K. Juszczyk—1110511113
LAug 12 · 17:35M. Koczyba—1112781K. Juszczyk—91411113
WAug 9 · 05:35M. Koczyba—1111113K. Juszczyk—9570
WAug 5 · 17:35M. Koczyba—1111113K. Juszczyk—9760
LJul 31 · 22:10M. Koczyba—811981K. Juszczyk—11911113
LJul 31 · 19:40M. Koczyba—12751172K. Juszczyk—1011117113
WJul 29 · 18:45M. Koczyba—91111123K. Juszczyk—1156101
WJul 15 · 17:35M. Koczyba—11117113K. Juszczyk—221151
LJul 14 · 16:50M. Koczyba—14981192K. Juszczyk—1211119113
M. Koczyba10
LSep 8 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.4413560G. Jurowicz2.631511113LSep 8 · 17:20M. Koczyba1.73811491P. Adamus2.0011911113LSep 8 · 16:15G. Marud2.2511511113M. Koczyba1.57411411LSep 8 · 15:25M. Koczyba1.36881631J. Nowak3.00111114113LAug 27 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.454111251P. Kurek2.50111310113LAug 27 · 24:45M. Koczyba1.367119111S. Krupa2.8511911133WAug 26 · 23:35M. Koczyba1.661111113M. Lebek2.104740LAug 26 · 22:25P. Adamus2.1051111113M. Koczyba1.66118741WAug 26 · 21:35M. Koczyba1.361111113O. Sokolowski2.957980LAug 26 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.7091161252P. Adamus2.001141110113
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 8 · 17:35M. Tkocz1.901011116113K. Juszczyk1.7512381132WSep 8 · 16:50S. Juzek2.3541113362K. Juszczyk1.481191111113LSep 8 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.831111113K. Juszczyk1.816480WSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113WSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.331111113W. Jozala2.957540LSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Ogon5.254780K. Juszczyk1.111111113WSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121WSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Koczyba1 of 10 neutral
Sep 8 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.80L. Oracz1.91—Sep 8 · 21:20M. Koczyba1.36J. Nowak3.00—Sep 8 · 22:10M. Koczyba1.80L. Oracz1.91—Sep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80P. Adamus1.91—Sep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.27G. Jurowicz3.20—Sep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57G. Marud2.25—Sep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba—A. Ruszkiewicz——Sep 9 · 16:25M. Koczyba—W. Pytlas——Sep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba—M. Baron——Sep 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba—W. Jozala——
K. Juszczyk
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