TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13014150
Played Aug 26Finished
Mariusz Koczyba
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
117119118––––
H2H Mariusz Koczyba 3–1 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Koczyba
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koczyba 1413 vs Sokolowski 1180
Koczyba
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koczyba 80% vs Sokolowski 60%
Koczyba
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koczyba 60% vs Sokolowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koczyba -1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Koczyba) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoczyba 1.36 / Sokolowski 2.95
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Koczyba)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13014150
Koczyba1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 361 of 534
Up 2–0, closes it95% 191 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it83% 261 of 316
Sokolowski2.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 60 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKoczyba3wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKoczyba leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoczyba75%3 of 4
AwaySokolowskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koczyba4Sokolowski0n = 4Koczyba took 4 of 4
S2Koczyba2Sokolowski2n = 4split evenly
S3Koczyba0Sokolowski4n = 4Sokolowski took 4 of 4
S4Koczyba3Sokolowski1n = 4Koczyba took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKoczybaSokolowskiK − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match41.037.8+3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoczybaSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime873 / 1316 vs 102 / 31766.3%32.2%873 / 1316 vs 102 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaKoczyba 1.36/Sokolowski 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 17 · 24:10M. Koczyba—116611123O. Sokolowski—311115102
LMar 28 · 08:10M. Koczyba—1176111O. Sokolowski—71111133
WJan 17 · 07:00M. Koczyba—11117113O. Sokolowski—571171
WDec 21 · 07:25M. Koczyba—13118113O. Sokolowski—1191181
M. Koczyba10
LSep 8 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.4413560G. Jurowicz2.631511113LSep 8 · 17:20M. Koczyba1.73811491P. Adamus2.0011911113LSep 8 · 16:15G. Marud2.2511511113M. Koczyba1.57411411LSep 8 · 15:25M. Koczyba1.36881631J. Nowak3.00111114113LAug 27 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.454111251P. Kurek2.50111310113LAug 27 · 24:45M. Koczyba1.367119111S. Krupa2.8511911133WAug 26 · 23:35M. Koczyba1.661111113M. Lebek2.104740LAug 26 · 22:25P. Adamus2.1051111113M. Koczyba1.66118741LAug 26 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.7091161252P. Adamus2.001141110113WAug 26 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.50117116113S. Krupa2.4051191142
O. Sokolowski10
LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480WAug 31 · 12:15O. Sokolowski1.36111111173I. Szymanski3.004137151LAug 31 · 10:35O. Sokolowski3.7511139792W. Wojtaszczyk1.255111111113WAug 31 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.5051171192O. Sokolowski2.50115115113WAug 31 · 08:35O. Sokolowski1.33141136123I. Szymanski3.251251111102LAug 31 · 06:55O. Sokolowski2.63814391P. Brozek1.44111211113WAug 31 · 05:40O. Sokolowski2.3881312113P. Przewlocki1.5311111081LAug 31 · 04:10O. Sokolowski2.259118101K. Schaniel1.5711411123WAug 31 · 03:00O. Sokolowski4.3311114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.20961171
Upcoming Matches
M. Koczyba1 of 10 neutral
Sep 8 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.80L. Oracz1.91—Sep 8 · 21:20M. Koczyba1.36J. Nowak3.00—Sep 8 · 22:10M. Koczyba1.80L. Oracz1.91—Sep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80P. Adamus1.91—Sep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.27G. Jurowicz3.20—Sep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57G. Marud2.25—Sep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba—A. Ruszkiewicz——Sep 9 · 16:25M. Koczyba—W. Pytlas——Sep 9 · 17:35M. Koczyba—M. Baron——Sep 9 · 18:45M. Koczyba—W. Jozala——
O. Sokolowski
Nothing scheduled
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