TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12287831
Played Jul 23Finished
Petr Silhan
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14168111171210119
Martin Stusek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Stusek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Silhan above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 109 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Martin Stusek at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Petr Silhan 24–40 Martin Stusek Petr Silhan has won 24 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stusek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-40 in 64
Stusek
Wrong
gap of 16 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Silhan 1731 vs Stusek 1745
Stusek
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Silhan 60% vs Stusek 40%
Silhan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Silhan 50% vs Stusek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Silhan -1 · Stusek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stusek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSilhan 2.25 / Stusek 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Silhan)+4.9pp
TT Cup · #12287831
Silhan2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 28 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Stusek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 60 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it75% 45 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSilhan6wins
AwayStusek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSilhan leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSilhan83.3%5 of 6
AwayStusek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Silhan6Stusek4n = 10Silhan took 6 of 10
S2Silhan3Stusek7n = 10Stusek took 7 of 10
S3Silhan5Stusek5n = 10split evenly
S4Silhan4Stusek5n = 9Stusek took 5 of 9
S5Silhan3Stusek0n = 3Silhan took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSilhanStusekSilhan − StusekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.239.20.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSilhanStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 177 vs 320 / 68049.7%47.1%88 / 177 vs 320 / 680Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekSilhan 2.25/Stusek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Silhan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 21:18P. Silhan—611117133M. Stusek—118811112
WJul 21 · 20:20P. Silhan—11511113M. Stusek—711981
WJul 15 · 20:55P. Silhan—11111011113M. Stusek—61312692
LJul 8 · 19:55P. Silhan—9111271M. Stusek—11914113
WJun 29 · 20:20P. Silhan—11711113M. Stusek—911571
WJun 24 · 20:20P. Silhan—1141112113M. Stusek—71151472
LJun 9 · 22:30P. Silhan—1511791M. Stusek—17511113
WJun 9 · 20:25P. Silhan—11511113M. Stusek—411721
LJun 3 · 21:35P. Silhan—1151051M. Stusek—61112113
LJun 3 · 19:20P. Silhan—3550M. Stusek—1111113
P. Silhan10
WSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 18:55P. Silhan2.2571181332J. Zlamal1.571191111113WAug 5 · 22:02P. Silhan1.671114113A. Hanl2.1091290LAug 5 · 21:25P. Silhan2.10118991M. Stusek1.6771111113LAug 5 · 19:55T. Vorisek1.73111011113P. Silhan2.00612761WAug 5 · 19:25A. Hanl2.50118101182P. Silhan1.50711127113LJul 27 · 21:48P. Silhan2.006580T. Vorisek1.731111113WJul 27 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.73911791P. Silhan2.0011411113LJul 27 · 19:50M. Stusek1.61711143113P. Silhan2.20119121182WJul 27 · 18:50P. Silhan1.80115611113D. Jicha1.9151111752
M. Stusek10
LSep 8 · 19:55P. Silhan2.00781111113M. Stusek1.7311113862LSep 8 · 19:25T. Vorisek1.671111143M. Stusek2.1087120WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WAug 5 · 21:25P. Silhan2.10118991M. Stusek1.6771111113WJul 27 · 19:50M. Stusek1.61711143113P. Silhan2.20119121182
Upcoming Matches
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M. Stusek
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