TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12206609
Played Jul 11Finished
Daniel Kostal
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117511311––
Grzegorz Felkel
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDaniel Kostal above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 66 set 4, 3-11
66 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kostal 0–1 Grzegorz Felkel Daniel Kostal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Felkel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostal 3.75 / Felkel 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Felkel)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12206609
Kostal3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 15 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back50% 8 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Felkel1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 267 of 403
Up 2–0, closes it95% 149 of 157
Up 1–0, closes it84% 207 of 247
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKostal0wins
AwayFelkel1wins
Felkel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKostalFelkelK − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.034.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostalFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 46 vs 772 / 125450%61.6%23 / 46 vs 772 / 1254Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelKostal 3.75/Felkel 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 11 · 03:25D. Kostal—55100G. Felkel—1111123
D. Kostal10
LAug 30 · 14:30J. Jimenez1.441111113D. Kostal2.637350WAug 28 · 13:58Q. Robinot—6640D. Kostal—1111113LAug 24 · 15:45T. Tseng1.201111113D. Kostal4.339770WAug 24 · 10:55J. Havsteen1.3087151162D. Kostal3.401111135113LJul 11 · 14:10D. Kostal4.00611351D. Wederlich1.2211811113LJul 11 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.111111113D. Kostal6.004650LJul 11 · 11:40A. Grela1.131111113D. Kostal4.958470LJul 11 · 09:40D. Kostal3.50114111282M. Jadczyk1.28711714113LJul 11 · 08:30J. Folwarski1.17111011113D. Kostal4.50612771LJul 11 · 07:20D. Kostal3.5011311392D. Wederlich1.28811811113
G. Felkel10
LAug 27 · 14:10D. Michna2.2091111113G. Felkel1.61114891WAug 27 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.5010560G. Felkel1.501211113LAug 27 · 11:15A. Grela1.73121011113G. Felkel2.001012581LAug 27 · 10:25S. Kolasa2.1081111133G. Felkel1.671164111WAug 27 · 09:00P. David1.50711115112G. Felkel2.50119911133LAug 27 · 07:45D. Michna2.0061111113G. Felkel1.73119251WAug 27 · 06:55A. Grela2.009780G. Felkel1.731111113WAug 27 · 06:05G. Felkel1.671111711113S. Kolasa2.1095111382WAug 27 · 04:30G. Felkel1.251111113M. Domin3.752680WAug 27 · 03:45P. David1.5391111692G. Felkel2.38116711113
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