TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12206608
Played Jul 11Finished
Artur Grela
Home
1.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114117––––
Daniel Kostal
Away
4.95
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Daniel Kostal below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7
52 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 1–0 Daniel Kostal Daniel Kostal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Grela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kostal form (0%) is below what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 1.13 / Kostal 4.95
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Grela)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12206608
Grela1.13
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 134 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it79% 92 of 117
Kostal4.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 15 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back50% 8 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGrela1wins
AwayKostal0wins
Grela leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGrelaKostalG − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.019.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaKostalBasisWin rate · lifetime589 / 1189 vs 23 / 4749.5%48.9%589 / 1189 vs 23 / 47Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaGrela 1.13/Kostal 4.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 11 · 04:55A. Grela—1111113D. Kostal—8920
A. Grela10
LSep 5 · 13:45A. Grela1.8391111492S. Kolasa1.83117811113LSep 5 · 12:30A. Grela1.5314381142M. Nowalinski2.381211114113WSep 5 · 11:15A. Grela1.33811711113G. Adamiak3.2511611732WSep 5 · 10:00M. Domin3.251111471A. Grela1.3313711113WSep 5 · 09:20A. Grela1.3011712113S. Sporek3.407111071LSep 5 · 08:30A. Grela1.8081141182S. Kolasa1.91117116113LSep 5 · 06:55A. Grela1.3011611982M. Domin3.40911611113WSep 5 · 05:40A. Grela1.3081111123S. Sporek3.401167101WSep 5 · 04:10A. Grela1.3311117113G. Adamiak3.25641151WSep 5 · 03:00A. Grela1.4011511123M. Nowalinski2.759115101
D. Kostal10
LAug 30 · 14:30J. Jimenez1.441111113D. Kostal2.637350WAug 28 · 13:58Q. Robinot—6640D. Kostal—1111113LAug 24 · 15:45T. Tseng1.201111113D. Kostal4.339770WAug 24 · 10:55J. Havsteen1.3087151162D. Kostal3.401111135113LJul 11 · 14:10D. Kostal4.00611351D. Wederlich1.2211811113LJul 11 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.111111113D. Kostal6.004650LJul 11 · 10:50D. Kostal3.75711531G. Felkel1.2511711113LJul 11 · 09:40D. Kostal3.50114111282M. Jadczyk1.28711714113LJul 11 · 08:30J. Folwarski1.17111011113D. Kostal4.50612771LJul 11 · 07:20D. Kostal3.5011311392D. Wederlich1.28811811113
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