TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12200797
Played Jul 11Finished
Daniel Kostal
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1174111171214811
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDaniel Kostal above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11
96 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kostal 0–1 Marcin Jadczyk Daniel Kostal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Jadczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostal 3.50 / Jadczyk 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Jadczyk)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12200797
Kostal3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 15 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back50% 8 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Jadczyk1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 477 of 714
Up 2–0, closes it98% 268 of 274
Up 1–0, closes it84% 385 of 456
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKostal0wins
AwayJadczyk1wins
Jadczyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKostalJadczykK − JBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match25.041.0−16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostalJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 45 vs 893 / 152951.1%58.4%23 / 45 vs 893 / 1529Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykKostal 3.50/Jadczyk 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 11 · 06:05D. Kostal—115451M. Jadczyk—81111113
D. Kostal10
LAug 30 · 14:30J. Jimenez1.441111113D. Kostal2.637350WAug 28 · 13:58Q. Robinot—6640D. Kostal—1111113LAug 24 · 15:45T. Tseng1.201111113D. Kostal4.339770WAug 24 · 10:55J. Havsteen1.3087151162D. Kostal3.401111135113LJul 11 · 14:10D. Kostal4.00611351D. Wederlich1.2211811113LJul 11 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.111111113D. Kostal6.004650LJul 11 · 11:40A. Grela1.131111113D. Kostal4.958470LJul 11 · 10:50D. Kostal3.75711531G. Felkel1.2511711113LJul 11 · 08:30J. Folwarski1.17111011113D. Kostal4.50612771LJul 11 · 07:20D. Kostal3.5011311392D. Wederlich1.28811811113
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113
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