TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12201164
Played Jul 11Finished
Daniel Kostal
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118311118311911
Damian Wederlich
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDaniel Kostal above · Damian Wederlich below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 86 set 5, 9-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kostal 0–2 Damian Wederlich Daniel Kostal has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Wederlich)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wederlich form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostal 3.50 / Wederlich 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Wederlich)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12201164
Kostal3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back36% 8 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Wederlich1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 40 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 29 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKostal0wins
AwayWederlich2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderWederlich leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKostalWederlichK − WBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.045.0−14.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostalWederlichBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 50 vs 213 / 35946%59.3%23 / 50 vs 213 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WederlichKostal 3.50/Wederlich 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Wederlich · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wederlich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 11 · 14:10D. Kostal—611351D. Wederlich—11811113
LJul 11 · 07:20D. Kostal—11311392D. Wederlich—811811113
D. Kostal10
LAug 30 · 14:30J. Jimenez1.441111113D. Kostal2.637350WAug 28 · 13:58Q. Robinot—6640D. Kostal—1111113LAug 24 · 15:45T. Tseng1.201111113D. Kostal4.339770WAug 24 · 10:55J. Havsteen1.3087151162D. Kostal3.401111135113LJul 11 · 14:10D. Kostal4.00611351D. Wederlich1.2211811113LJul 11 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.111111113D. Kostal6.004650LJul 11 · 11:40A. Grela1.131111113D. Kostal4.958470LJul 11 · 10:50D. Kostal3.75711531G. Felkel1.2511711113LJul 11 · 09:40D. Kostal3.50114111282M. Jadczyk1.28711714113LJul 11 · 08:30J. Folwarski1.17111011113D. Kostal4.50612771
D. Wederlich10
WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.57910121172T. Spanik2.251112109113LJul 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.502560M. Miastowski2.501111113WJul 11 · 14:10D. Kostal4.00611351D. Wederlich1.2211811113
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