TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12201160
Played Jul 11Finished
Daniel Kostal
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118311511––
Damian Wederlich
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDaniel Kostal above · Damian Wederlich below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11
66 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kostal 0–1 Damian Wederlich Daniel Kostal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Wederlich)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wederlich form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostal 4.00 / Wederlich 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Wederlich)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12201160
Kostal4.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 15 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back50% 8 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Wederlich1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 36 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKostal0wins
AwayWederlich1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderWederlich leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKostalWederlichK − WBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.049.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostalWederlichBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 49 vs 212 / 35846.9%59.2%23 / 49 vs 212 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WederlichKostal 4.00/Wederlich 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Wederlich · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wederlich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 11 · 07:20D. Kostal—11311392D. Wederlich—811811113
D. Kostal10
LAug 30 · 14:30J. Jimenez1.441111113D. Kostal2.637350WAug 28 · 13:58Q. Robinot—6640D. Kostal—1111113LAug 24 · 15:45T. Tseng1.201111113D. Kostal4.339770WAug 24 · 10:55J. Havsteen1.3087151162D. Kostal3.401111135113LJul 11 · 12:30J. Folwarski1.111111113D. Kostal6.004650LJul 11 · 11:40A. Grela1.131111113D. Kostal4.958470LJul 11 · 10:50D. Kostal3.75711531G. Felkel1.2511711113LJul 11 · 09:40D. Kostal3.50114111282M. Jadczyk1.28711714113LJul 11 · 08:30J. Folwarski1.17111011113D. Kostal4.50612771LJul 11 · 07:20D. Kostal3.5011311392D. Wederlich1.28811811113
D. Wederlich10
WJul 19 · 13:45D. Wederlich1.3381111113M. Domin3.25117981WJul 19 · 12:30D. Wederlich1.30111111133A. Spychala3.407137111WJul 19 · 11:15D. Wederlich1.441111113M. Miastowski2.639850WJul 19 · 10:00T. Spanik2.2511971482D. Wederlich1.579111112113WJul 19 · 09:20D. Wederlich1.7311811133G. Felkel2.006118111WJul 19 · 08:30D. Wederlich1.33511811113M. Domin3.2511811782LJul 19 · 06:55D. Wederlich1.739450G. Felkel2.001111113LJul 19 · 05:40D. Wederlich1.57910121172T. Spanik2.251112109113LJul 19 · 04:10D. Wederlich1.502560M. Miastowski2.501111113WJul 11 · 07:20D. Kostal3.5011311392D. Wederlich1.28811811113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.