TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12045889
Played Jun 16Finished
Martin Vorel
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91113111151113118
Martin Obraz
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Martin Obraz below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 103 set 5, 11-8
103 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vorel 48–21 Martin Obraz Martin Obraz has won 21 of their 69 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Obraz form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorel 1.57 / Obraz 2.25
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Vorel)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12045889
Vorel1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 92 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 71 of 86
Obraz2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 58 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back28% 20 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorel7wins
AwayObraz3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVorel leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorel85.7%6 of 7
AwayObraz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorel7Obraz3n = 10Vorel took 7 of 10
S2Vorel6Obraz4n = 10Vorel took 6 of 10
S3Vorel2Obraz8n = 10Obraz took 8 of 10
S4Vorel8Obraz1n = 9Vorel took 8 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorelObrazV − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.337.3+2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorelObrazBasisWin rate · lifetime555 / 1055 vs 319 / 70252.6%45.4%555 / 1055 vs 319 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelVorel 1.57/Obraz 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vorel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 26 · 06:30M. Vorel43611411113M. Obraz4311811492
WMay 22 · 08:00M. Vorel4212811113M. Obraz351011861
WApr 7 · 12:00M. Vorel4311117143M. Obraz355711121
WApr 2 · 08:00M. Vorel3911116113M. Obraz32771171
LMar 31 · 06:00M. Vorel2688100M. Obraz341111123
LMar 27 · 16:00M. Vorel35911781M. Obraz3911611113
WMar 25 · 10:30M. Vorel4111127113M. Obraz333101191
WMar 4 · 09:33M. Vorel4111118113M. Obraz35981171
WMar 4 · 07:00M. Vorel3712212113M. Obraz3310111021
LFeb 16 · 06:30M. Vorel4611861472M. Obraz549111112113
M. Vorel10
WSep 14 · 08:33M. Vorel1.9111411113J. Mejzlik1.80811731LSep 14 · 08:00M. Vorel1.9111101291A. Dvoracek1.8051214113LSep 14 · 06:30J. Mejzlik1.83813811113M. Vorel1.83111111462WSep 14 · 06:00O. Plyska2.10712761M. Vorel1.67111011113LSep 12 · 08:28M. Vorel2.50101111882K. Farsky1.50129711113LSep 12 · 08:00M. Vorel1.809880A. Dvoracek1.911111113LSep 12 · 06:30K. Jirousek1.8371111143M. Vorel1.831168121LSep 12 · 06:00K. Farsky1.611216113M. Vorel2.20101450LSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113WSep 9 · 07:45M. Vorel1.80711112143A. Dvoracek1.91113611122
M. Obraz10
LSep 15 · 12:00M. Obraz1.737114151J. Jnr2.0011411173WSep 15 · 10:30P. Moulis2.25118111252M. Obraz1.57311714113LSep 15 · 10:00J. Blazek1.7311119113M. Obraz2.00591191LJun 17 · 09:08J. Puk1.91411127113M. Obraz1.80114101142LJun 17 · 08:00M. Obraz1.739101191J. Puk2.0011129113LJun 17 · 06:30O. Plyska1.501311113M. Obraz2.5011760WJun 17 · 06:00J. Hanacek1.6199111262M. Obraz2.201111910113LJun 16 · 08:58M. Obraz2.5011711882O. Plyska1.50611311113LJun 16 · 08:00O. Plyska1.531113113M. Obraz2.3871190LJun 16 · 05:30M. Vana1.8011512113M. Obraz1.911111071
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.