TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12045915
Played Jun 16Finished
Miroslav Vana
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1115111210117––
Martin Obraz
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMiroslav Vana above · Martin Obraz below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7
68 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vana 19–18 Martin Obraz Martin Obraz has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Obraz form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.80 / Obraz 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vana)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12045915
Vana1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 33 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it61% 25 of 41
Obraz1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 58 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back28% 20 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVana4wins
AwayObraz6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderObraz leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVanan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayObraz62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana2Obraz8n = 10Obraz took 8 of 10
S2Vana3Obraz7n = 10Obraz took 7 of 10
S3Vana6Obraz4n = 10Vana took 6 of 10
S4Vana6Obraz2n = 8Vana took 6 of 8
S5Vana2Obraz3n = 5Obraz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanaObrazV − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.441.8−2.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaObrazBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 381 vs 319 / 70247.2%45.4%180 / 381 vs 319 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.80/Obraz 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 6 · 07:15M. Vana4411851282M. Obraz518111110113
WMar 31 · 06:30M. Vana3611311113M. Obraz35711891
WMar 13 · 07:45M. Vana44111111113M. Obraz35139581
LFeb 16 · 07:30M. Vana2512850M. Obraz361411113
LFeb 3 · 12:15M. Vana47491211112M. Obraz531111108133
LJan 8 · 11:00M. Vana4221191192M. Obraz38111114113
WDec 29 · 07:30M. Vana558111114113M. Obraz50111381262
WDec 28 · 07:30M. Vana48911116113M. Obraz4611961192
LDec 19 · 10:45M. Vana227960M. Obraz331111113
LOct 30 · 06:30M. Vana31761171M. Obraz4111118113
M. Vana10
WSep 9 · 20:39M. Vana1.50111110113J. Hanacek2.50371281LSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672WSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113
M. Obraz10
LSep 15 · 12:00M. Obraz1.737114151J. Jnr2.0011411173WSep 15 · 10:30P. Moulis2.25118111252M. Obraz1.57311714113LSep 15 · 10:00J. Blazek1.7311119113M. Obraz2.00591191LJun 17 · 09:08J. Puk1.91411127113M. Obraz1.80114101142LJun 17 · 08:00M. Obraz1.739101191J. Puk2.0011129113LJun 17 · 06:30O. Plyska1.501311113M. Obraz2.5011760WJun 17 · 06:00J. Hanacek1.6199111262M. Obraz2.201111910113LJun 16 · 08:58M. Obraz2.5011711882O. Plyska1.50611311113LJun 16 · 08:00O. Plyska1.531113113M. Obraz2.3871190LJun 16 · 07:00M. Vorel1.579131111113M. Obraz2.25111151382
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.