TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12039220
Played Jun 15Finished
Ivo Zikmund
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111191012115118
Milan Smesny
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingIvo Zikmund above · Milan Smesny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8
97 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Zikmund 1–1 Milan Smesny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Smesny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smesny form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZikmund 3.75 / Smesny 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Smesny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12039220
Zikmund3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 22 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back35% 10 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Smesny1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 51 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZikmund1wins
AwaySmesny1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricZikmundSmesnyZ − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match33.039.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikmundSmesnyBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 152 vs 250 / 52248.7%47.9%74 / 152 vs 250 / 522Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmesnyZikmund 3.75/Smesny 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Smesny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zikmund won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 15 · 06:30I. Zikmund—9111011113M. Smesny—11912582
LMar 3 · 09:00I. Zikmund—5810M. Smesny—1111113
I. Zikmund10
LJun 15 · 09:08I. Zikmund1.91781681V. Kubat1.80111114113LJun 15 · 08:00J. Strnad1.611111113I. Zikmund2.208740WJun 15 · 07:00V. Kubat1.536880I. Zikmund2.381111113LMay 29 · 09:00P. Potmesil1.509131110123I. Zikmund2.501111912102WMay 29 · 08:30I. Zikmund2.501112113P. Serak1.5041060LMay 29 · 07:00I. Zikmund2.10511971P. Potmesil1.6711511113LMay 29 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5311136113I. Zikmund2.386111121LApr 30 · 08:59P. Petr1.44111112113I. Zikmund2.63561441LApr 30 · 08:30P. Petr1.801111113I. Zikmund1.915660WApr 30 · 07:30I. Zikmund2.75911116113L. Novotny1.4011651182
M. Smesny10
WSep 8 · 09:30M. Vaclavik1.4045111192M. Smesny2.75111174113WSep 8 · 08:30A. Hejduk1.57741171M. Smesny2.2511117113LSep 8 · 07:30M. Smesny2.385760M. Vaclavik1.531111113WSep 8 · 06:30L. Novotny2.2576111162M. Smesny1.57111175113WSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191LSep 6 · 08:30M. Smesny2.751041181M. Vrabec1.4012117113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Smesny1.57111191162J. Martinek2.25831113113WSep 6 · 06:00L. Novotny2.00111111982M. Smesny1.73913911113LSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113WSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123
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