TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11955550
Played May 29Finished
Ladislav Novotny
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161311611112––
Ivo Zikmund
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLadislav Novotny above · Ivo Zikmund below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 71 set 4, 11-2
71 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Novotny 10–9 Ivo Zikmund Ivo Zikmund has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zikmund form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.53 / Zikmund 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Novotny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11955550
Novotny1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 28 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 21 of 29
Zikmund2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog48% won 20 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back35% 9 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovotny7wins
AwayZikmund3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNovotny leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny75%6 of 8
AwayZikmundn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny8Zikmund2n = 10Novotny took 8 of 10
S2Novotny5Zikmund5n = 10split evenly
S3Novotny5Zikmund5n = 10split evenly
S4Novotny5Zikmund2n = 7Novotny took 5 of 7
S5Novotny2Zikmund2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovotnyZikmundN − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.736.1+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyZikmundBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 320 vs 72 / 14847.2%48.7%151 / 320 vs 72 / 148Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.53/Zikmund 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 29 · 06:00L. Novotny—3I. Zikmund—1
LApr 30 · 07:30L. Novotny—2I. Zikmund—3
WApr 27 · 06:30L. Novotny—3I. Zikmund—0
WApr 7 · 08:00L. Novotny—3I. Zikmund—1
WMar 30 · 10:00L. Novotny—3I. Zikmund—2
WMar 20 · 08:00L. Novotny—3I. Zikmund—2
LMar 16 · 13:00L. Novotny—0I. Zikmund—3
WMar 13 · 09:58L. Novotny—3I. Zikmund—0
LMar 13 · 09:30L. Novotny—2I. Zikmund—3
WMar 3 · 10:08L. Novotny—3I. Zikmund—1
L. Novotny10
LSep 8 · 09:00L. Novotny1.73111199102A. Hejduk2.00981111123LSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.50118914113L. Novotny2.50911111272WSep 8 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.80121171062L. Novotny1.911091112113LSep 8 · 06:30L. Novotny2.2576111162M. Smesny1.57111175113LSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191LSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113LSep 6 · 06:00L. Novotny2.00111111982M. Smesny1.73913911113LSep 3 · 09:29L. Novotny1.4012101371M. Vrabec2.75141211113WSep 3 · 08:00L. Novotny1.731111113M. Vrabec2.009560
I. Zikmund10
LJun 15 · 09:08I. Zikmund1.91781681V. Kubat1.80111114113LJun 15 · 08:00J. Strnad1.611111113I. Zikmund2.208740WJun 15 · 07:00V. Kubat1.536880I. Zikmund2.381111113WJun 15 · 06:30I. Zikmund3.759111011113M. Smesny1.2511912582LMay 29 · 09:00P. Potmesil1.509131110123I. Zikmund2.501111912102WMay 29 · 08:30I. Zikmund2.501112113P. Serak1.5041060LMay 29 · 07:00I. Zikmund2.10511971P. Potmesil1.6711511113LApr 30 · 08:59P. Petr1.44111112113I. Zikmund2.63561441LApr 30 · 08:30P. Petr1.801111113I. Zikmund1.915660WApr 30 · 07:30I. Zikmund2.75911116113L. Novotny1.4011651182
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